MLB
Re-Drafting the 2009 MLB Draft Using Advanced Analytics
Knowing what we know now, Mike Trout should have been the top pick, but how does the rest of the draft look in hindsight?

What Should've Happened

According to WAR, which players rise to the top?

Pick Team Player Position WAR
1 Los Angeles Angels Mike Trout OF 48.1
2 Washington Nationals Stephen Strasburg RHP 23.2
3 Arizona Diamondbacks A.J. Pollock OF 13.8
4 Cincinnati Reds Mike Leake RHP 12.6
5 Los Angeles Angels Garrett Richards RHP 9.1
6 St. Louis Cardinals Shelby Miller RHP 7.4
7 Atlanta Braves Mike Minor LHP 7.0
8 Seattle Mariners Dustin Ackley 2B/OF 6.7
9 Toronto Blue Jays James Paxton LHP 6.3
10 Minnesota Twins Kyle Gibson RHP 5.7
10 Los Angeles Angels Randal Grichuk OF 5.7


As you probably guessed, Mike Trout takes over the number one spot. He does so thanks to five Silver Sluggers, two All-Star Game MVPs and two AL MVPs along with 170 homers and 504 runs batted in through 850 career games.

Don't worry. Stephen Strasburg doesn't fall very far. At two, in spite of various injuries, he has a record of 70-41 in 158 starts and two All-Star Game appearances.

A.J. Pollock and Mike Leake are the only other players with double-digit WAR for their careers. While Pollock has an All-Star Game and a Gold Glove to his name, Leake has received no awards but has 73 wins to 65 losses in 203 starts in the bigs.

Garrett Richards, Shelby Miller and Mike Minor make up a trio of respectable pitchers at spots five through seven. Between them, they have won 114 games with 1,665 strikeouts in 321 career games.

Of the final four players, from Dustin Ackley to Randal Grichuk, no one has a single All-Star appearance or any notable awards to speak of. Still, they've proven to be productive players -- as evidenced by their individual WARs -- in roughly five years in the big leagues.

Prev Next

Related News

Re-Drafting the 2007 MLB Draft Using Advanced Analytics

Brett Oswalt  --  Apr 12th, 2017

Re-Drafting the 2006 MLB Draft Using Advanced Analytics

Brett Oswalt  --  Apr 12th, 2017

Re-Drafting the 2005 MLB Draft Using Advanced Analytics

Brett Oswalt  --  Apr 12th, 2017