This group still has a ton of the usual suspects, but the seventh, eighth and ninth spots are all occupied by teams with less than a 10.0% chance of making the playoffs at the moment. How long can they hold on?
| Rank | Team | nERD | Record | Playoff Odds | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Tampa Bay Rays | 0.48 | 13-14 | 16.5% | +1 |
| 9 | Cincinnati Reds | 0.51 | 12-13 | 4.2% | -2 |
| 8 | Minnesota Twins | 0.52 | 12-11 | 8.8% | +1 |
| 7 | Oakland Athletics | 0.55 | 11-14 | 9.3% | -3 |
| 6 | Cleveland Indians | 0.57 | 14-11 | 85.8% | +2 |
| 5 | Los Angeles Dodgers | 0.87 | 14-13 | 76.4% | +1 |
| 4 | Arizona Diamondbacks | 0.91 | 16-11 | 41.6% | +6 |
| 3 | Houston Astros | 1.22 | 17-9 | 90.8% | -1 |
| 2 | New York Yankees | 1.76 | 15-9 | 54.2% | -1 |
| 1 | Washington Nationals | 1.95 | 17-8 | 93.5% | +1 |
Biggest Rise: Arizona Diamondbacks
This is the kind of performance the Arizona Diamondbacks were hoping to have last year, but better late than never, right?
Shelby Miller needing Tommy John surgery creates a void in the rotation that needs to be filled, but this lineup is just humming along. Their team wRC+ over the last seven days is 106, which is middle of the pack, but Paul Goldschmidt (.568), Brandon Drury (.509), A.J. Pollock (.451) and Chris Owings (.421) all posted a wOBA over. 400 during that time.
Biggest Drop: Oakland Athletics
The Oakland Athletics are continuing to hang on by a thread, but if they repeat this past week's performance, they may end up on the outside looking in the next time we check around the league. They went just 1-5 in their past 6 games and watched their playoff odds drop from 17.3% to their current mark of 9.3%.
Their starting rotation led the majors with a 1.4 fWAR over the last seven days, but the offense couldn't help support them -- their team wRC+ of 70 was tied for second worst with the Miami Marlins.