MLB
5 MLB Pitchers Who Have Taken a Huge Step Back in 2017
After an encouraging rookie season that included a strong finish, Sean Manaea hasn't been as good during his sophomore campaign. Who else has struggled in 2017 despite being fresh off a solid year?

Jeremy Jeffress, RP, Milwaukee Brewers

Just last year, Milwaukee Brewers reliever Jeremy Jeffress was sent to the Texas Rangers with Jonathan Lucroy in a non-waiver trade deadline deal that netted the Brew Crew with some interesting assets. And despite some off-field difficulties, Jeffress did have a solid year on the mound, which included a 3.49 SIERA, 17.4% strikeout rate, 7.5% walk rate, and 27 saves.

Here we are just over a year later, though, and the Rangers traded Jeffress right back to Milwaukee -- who is in the thick of a playoff race -- for a lot less of a return because he's struggled quite a bit in 2017. He's on track to have an ERA (4.97) above 3.00 for the first time since 2012, and with a 4.77 SIERA, it's looking rather likely that it'll increase for the fourth consecutive season after putting together a career-best mark of 2.38 in 2013.

While he's actually induced soft contact more often this year (24.7%) than last year (22.0%), there are a lot of negative changes in his batted-ball profile. The below table compares his line-drive rate (LD%), ground-ball rate (GB%), fly-ball rate (FB%), pull rate (Pull%), and hard-hit rate (Hard%) between 2016 and 2017.

Year LD% GB% FB% Pull% Hard%
2016 23.6% 60.3% 16.1% 32.8% 17.5%
2017 19.0% 55.1% 25.9% 39.5% 29.0%


These numbers haven't been helped by a sinker that's drastically decreased in effectiveness, either -- after producing a 67.5% ground-ball rate and 82 wRC+ off the pitch last year, opposing hitters have improved those numbers to 57.0% and 174 this year, respectively. It's unlikely he'll get a nice raise via arbitration, but he at least has some time to rebuild his value before hitting the open market following the 2019 season.

Prev Next

Related News

MLB Betting Guide for Friday 8/11/23: The Wrong Team Is Favored at Fenway Park

Austin Swaim  --  Aug 30th, 2017

3 MLB Player Prop Bets to Target on Friday 8/11/23

Thomas Vecchio  --  Aug 30th, 2017

MLB Betting Guide for Thursday 8/10/23: 3 Unders on a Slate with Dodgy Weather

Austin Swaim  --  Aug 30th, 2017