Price: $2,100
Southpaw Dillon Peters is taking the mound for the Miami Marlins, and that leaves the Los Angeles Dodgers with a solid 4.83 implied total.
Peters is up to 10 starts in his major league career, and his skill-interactive ERA (SIERA) sits at an ugly 5.18. He's off to an especially worrying start to 2018, with a 12.4% walk rate that almost matches his 13.5% strikeout rate, and he's allowing a hard-hit rate of 41.5%.
Austin Barnes has made 171 plate appearances against southpaws in his career, turning a 34.8% hard-hit rate into a .369 wOBA and .218 isolated slugging (ISO). That makes him an absolute steal in such a good matchup as he's priced only $100 above the minimum.