Price: $2,100
Going to the cheap end of value plays, Alex Avila is priced only $100 above the minimum in tonight's matchup with Joe Musgrove of the Pittsburgh Pirates.
Avila is certainly not a high-floor play and is capable of a goose egg, which helps explain why he's so cheap here. His production has been terrible this season, and he has strikeout rates north of 30% in each of the last three seasons.
But he offers some intriguing upside any time he's taking on a right-handed pitcher. He has a 50.0% hard-hit and 8.8% soft-hit rate in 89 plate appearances against righties this season. Looking at the 392 players with at least 100 batted balls against righties since the start of the 2017 campaign, Avila ranks seventh in average exit velocity as well as 22nd in average batted-ball distance.
Musgrove has allowed a 40.0% hard-hit rate and 45.0% fly-ball rate to left-handed bats this season, and while Avila is no lock for production, his power gives him upside that you'll rarely find at this price-point.