Price: $9,700
The Cleveland Indians are by far the biggest favorites on Monday's slate, boasting a -226 moneyline. Even though this game has a fairly high 9.0 over/under, being such heavy underdogs leaves the Chicago White Sox with a low 3.66 implied total.
The White Sox have made for a fantasy-friendly matchup for right-handed pitchers all season, ranking in the middle of the pack with a 98 wRC+ in the split while striking out at the eighth-highest rate.
To open 2018, Carlos Carrasco hasn't been producing quite the way he has in past seasons, but his numbers are still very solid. His 3.58 skill-interactive ERA (SIERA) indicates that he's been pitching much better than his 4.23 ERA would suggest, and he's sporting a strong 24.4% strikeout rate with a sparkling 13.2% swinging-strike rate.
Those numbers are more than enough to put him in a great spot against the White Sox, and our models project him as the day's top-scoring fantasy pitcher.