Price: $10,000

The Houston Astros are the biggest favorites (-249 moneyline) on Wednesday's main slate, while the Tampa Bay Rays' 2.96 implied total is the day's lowest.

Tampa has been middling against right-handed pitching this season, with a 98 wRC+ and 22.7% strikeout rate, and those numbers are weak enough that Charlie Morton shouldn't have much trouble taking advantage of this matchup.

Through 14 starts in 2018, Morton's 3.27 skill-interactive ERA (SIERA) is on pace to be a career-best, while his 30.6% strikeout rate is by far the highest of his career. Those high strikeout numbers come with a swinging-strike rate (12.3%) that is on pace to tie his previous career-best.

Combining his strong production and plus matchup, our models project him as the top-scoring pitcher on today's main slate by a significant margin.