Price: $5,200
With the Coors Field game not on today's main slate, the only team with an implied total above even 4.50 tonight is the Boston Red Sox, with a strong 5.27 implied total.
Toronto Blue Jays lefty J.A. Happ has been posting some promising numbers this season, but that huge gap in implied total makes it very hard to ignore the Boston offense. Happ has also struggled a bit with right-handed bats, posting a mediocre 4.09 xFIP in the split.
J.D. Martinez has turned a 48.2% hard-hit and 9.3% soft-hit rate into a .392 wOBA and .220 isolated slugging (ISO) over 87 plate appearances against lefties this season. That's a small sample size, but his numbers get even better if we go further back as he's blasting southpaws for a .468 wOBA and .377 ISO in 197 plate appearances over the last two seasons.
He leads the Majors in both home runs and RBIs, and he continues to offer elite upside.