Price: $2,000
Adam Duvall is priced at minimum salary, in part, because he has been hugely inefficient from the dish this year, posting a lowly .282 wOBA and failing to crack the Mendoza line, slashing .197/.278/.373. Even his numbers against southpaws, where he usually thrives, have been poor, with a .295 wOBA.
His contact numbers have been great, though, especially against lefties, against whom he's sporting a 42.1% hard-hit, 11.8% soft-hit and 55.3% fly-ball rate. All three of those marks are better than his career averages, but his batting average on balls in play (BABIP) sits at only .225, compared to his career average of .270. That means that variance has likely played a huge role in his weak production and that we can expect things to start trending in his favor, especially if he keeps making the kind of contact that he has been this year.
Tonight's matchup is a promising one, as well. Chicago Cubs southpaw Mike Montgomery has a 3.62 ERA on the year, but that comes with a much less encouraging 4.59 SIERA. He has a 4.40 xFIP in his 13 starts this year, and in those games has allowed a 33.9% hard-hit rate. Duvall shouldn't have much trouble making good contact here, which positions him very well and gives him plenty of upside to boot.
Jason Schandl is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Jason Schandl also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username Jaymun. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in his articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.