Start: September 25th at San Francisco Giants
ESPN ownership: 1.0%

Surface numbers would have you think that Robbie Erlin has been out of his element since taking on a starting role for the San Diego Padres in August. The 27-year-old has been roughed up to the tune of a 5.48 ERA across 44.1 innings, with his 22.0% strikeout rate as a reliever falling to 17.8% when taking the mound as a starter.

Yet a 3.20 fielding independent pitching and ultra-low 56.7% strand rate across his work in the rotation might suggest that the lefty has been snakebitten. Better luck could be ahead as Erlin lines up to wrap up his season against a supremely southpaw-friendly foe in the San Francisco Giants. San Fran is particularly soft on lefties at home, mustering a .101 team ISO in the second half with an miserable 22.3% strikeout-minus-walk rate.