Price: $3,800
With this game's 9.5-run over/under, the underdog Cardinals still offer some nice offensive upside, boasting a 4.43-run implied total against Milwaukee Brewers righty Freddy Peralta.
Peralta hasn't been nearly as bad this year as his 6.91 ERA indicates, boasting a 3.62 SIERA, but there's still room for big upside for opposing hitters. His 50.0% fly-ball rate is right in line with the 52.0% fly-ball rate he allowed in 16 games last year, and his 42.5% hard-hit rate is consistent with 2018's 41.4% clip.
Paul Goldschmidt may have only a .349 wOBA on the year, but he's not someone to whom you can afford to give up hard-hit fly-balls. He's opened the year with a massive 59.0% hard-hit rate and 53.8% fly-ball rate. While those marks aren't going to be sustainable, he put up a 46.2% hard-hit rate and 36.4% fly-ball rate last year, so we shouldn't expect them to regress too far.
Goldy has turned that contact into a huge .322 ISO, going yard six times in 69 plate appearances so far. Again, negative regression will hit his ISO, but he's coming off of 2017 and 2018 seasons with ISO's of .265 and .243, respectively, so even with some regression, he will continue to offer elite upside.
Jason Schandl is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Jason Schandl also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username Jaymun. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in his articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.