Price: $4,300
The Joey Gallo gamble worked out last night, and he's well worth stomaching some risk for again in this spot.
As I outlined yesterday, there's always going to be a low floor with Gallo. He hits for a terrible average and strikes out at a huge rate. The key is finding opportunities where his upside outweighs that. He hits the ball harder than just about anyone in the majors, and that has translated to a .314 ISO since the start of the 2017 season.
If we just look at his work against right-handed pitching in that time, he's turned in a 49.1% hard-hit rate, 13.2% soft-hit rate and 51.4% fly-ball rate, translating to a .360 wOBA and .320 ISO.
On the other side of that game against the Angels, Texas has Wednesday's highest implied total. LA will roll out Matt Harvey, who has looked more like the Matt Harvey of 2017 (10.9% walk rate, 5.44 SIERA) than of 2018 (5.6% walk rate, 4.18 SIERA) over three games this year.
Even with those improved numbers in 2018, Harvey got cracked for a career-high 38.9% hard-hit rate and a 37.5% fly-ball rate, leaving plenty of room for Gallo to flex his power even if Harvey shows some improvements tonight.
Jason Schandl is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Jason Schandl also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username Jaymun. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in his articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.