Price: $2,000
Nick Williams checks all kinds of boxes tonight. He's priced at the minimum. He has a great matchup. He's on a team that's likely score a lot. There's a lot to like here.
The Philadelphia Phillies' 4.76 implied total is the third-highest mark on tonight's 15-game slate, meaning we can expect them to be one of the day's highest-scoring offenses. That's not a surprise with their matchup against the Miami Marlins and righty Jose Urena, whose weak 4.41 skill-interactive ERA (SIERA) to open 2019 isn't a ton better than his 4.81 career average and is right in line with his 4.39 from 2018.
Williams has been awful from the dish this year, with a .183 wOBA, but that's only over a 24 plate appearance sample. Not exactly meaningful.
His first two big league seasons were much better and saw him post wOBAs of .344 and .324, along with ISOs of .185 and .170. When he's had the platoon advantage over his career, his averages jump to a .337 wOBA and .191 ISO.