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After posting a .365 wOBA and 22 long balls over 432 plate appearances last season as a 20-year-old rookie, Carlos Correa hasn’t been able to match those numbers in 2016. He’s still having a darn good season, though. He is sporting a .344 wOBA with 8 homers and 8 steals, and his 11.3% walk rate is a career-best mark.

Correa and the Astros face off against Texas Rangers’ lefty Cole Hamels. Correa has a .359 wOBA versus southpaws in his brief career, and our models give Houston an implied total of 4.51 runs today. The game is at one of the baseball's best hitters' parks in Texas’ Globe Life Park, which ranks sixth in ESPN’s Park Factors.