FanDuel Price: $7,700
Why He Will Go Overlooked:
Jon Gray is pitching at Coors and has the fourth-highest implied opponent run total, with Atlanta projected for five runs. With a loaded pitcher player pool, it seems unlikely that he is highly owned.
Why You Should Use Him:
Coors Field is not a place we tend to target pitchers at. I understand the concern. Given what Gray has done at home this year, along with Atlanta's struggles at the plate this season, I am willing to take a chance on Gray in tournaments tonight.
Check out Gray's home/away splits this season in the table below.
Jon Gray | xFIP | WHIP | K% | BB% | Hard% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Home | 3.04 | 1.10 | 26.9 | 5.1 | 27.8 |
Away | 3.91 | 1.23 | 25.3 | 10.4 | 34.1 |
Gray has been even better in his last five home starts, posting a 2.97 ERA and a 9.45 K/9.
Oh yeah, and his opponent, the Braves, rank dead last in wOBA and wRC+ against right-handed pitching. The concerns with playing at Coors are also alleviated by the fact that they have the fewest homers against righties by a wide margin, which is backed up by their last-place hard-hit rate against righties.
I will never recommend that you start a pitcher at Coors in your cash game lineups, but Gray is certainly worth a look in tournaments given his price, upside, and low ownership.