With just six games on Wednesday's main slate -- and no Coors Field or teams like the Yankees and Astros -- our overall expectations are a bit lower with tonight's stacks. Even so, there are still some hurlers prone to blow-ups on this abridged slate, so we could still get our share of offensive fireworks.
Each day here on numberFire, we'll go through four offenses ripe for the stacking. They could have a great matchup, be in a great park, or just have a lot of quality sticks in the lineup, but these are the offenses primed for big days that you may want a piece of.
Premium members can use our stacking feature to customize their stacks within their optimal lineups for the day, choosing the team you want to stack and how many players you want to include. You can also check out our hitting heat map, which provides an illustration of which offenses have the best combination of matchup and potency.
Now, let's get to the stacks.
Seattle Mariners
The Seattle Mariners may not be a frequent visitor to these parts, but opposing pitcher Edwin Jackson sure is.
Jackson surprisingly held the Royals to just one earned run over 6.1 innings in his debut for the Tigers, but Vegas isn't buying any change in form, granting the Mariners a robust 5.44 implied total -- the best mark on the slate.
There's good reason for that, seeing as Jackson has otherwise been torched in most of his appearances this season. Across 34.2 innings, he owns a 5.69 SIERA and 13.6% strikeout rate and has allowed a 42.6% hard-hit rate and 38.3% fly-ball rate. Those poor batted-ball marks are reflected in Jackson's terrible xSLG allowed, which ranks among the very worst in the entire league, and it's no wonder he's allowed a ridiculous 3.38 dingers per nine innings.
As you might expect from an offense like Seattle, they're also fairly inexpensive, with Dan Vogelbach ($3,900) being the only player priced above $3,400. Of course, he's a guy you'll probably want if you can fit him in, as he's producing a .282 ISO against right-handed pitching off a 43.5% hard-hit rate and 44.6% fly-ball rate.
Seattle can roll out quite a few other lefties against Jackson, too, including Mallex Smith ($3,300) and J.P. Crawford ($3,200) at the top of the lineup, along with guys like Kyle Seager ($3,400) and Omar Narvaez ($2,600).
Domingo Santana ($3,300) has been less effective in same-sided matchups but pairs an encouraging 45.0% hard-hit rate with a 42.7% ground-ball rate in the split.