After the St. Louis Cardinals took three of four games in their all-important weekend set with the Milwaukee Brewers, their lead in the NL Central grew to 5 games over the Brew Crew, and it's now 4.5 over the Pittsburgh Pirates, who have leaped over Milwaukee for second place in the division.
Even though the Cardinals haven't been terribly impressive for much of the season, they are making a move at just the right time. And one of the players leading them there is @JimBowdenESPNxm: Peralta - Cards agree to 4-year deal: http://t.co/rkpdAO3QaLâ€
— Brad Ziegler (@BradZiegler) November 24, 2013Apparently, the Cardinals knew what they were doing.
| Name | Team | nERD | fWAR | rWAR | HR | wOBA | wRC+ | fOff | fDef |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jhonny Peralta | Cardinals | 1.36 | 5.3 | 5.5 | 20 | .354 | 127 | 14.1 | 18.1 |
| J.J. Hardy | Orioles | 0.12 | 3.5 | 3.7 | 9 | .315 | 98 | -2.6 | 17.7 |
| Erick Aybar | Angels | -0.15 | 3.5 | 3.4 | 6 | .311 | 103 | 2.5 | 10.5 |
| Jimmy Rollins | Phillies | 0.52 | 3.3 | 3.7 | 17 | .318 | 101 | 4.1 | 7.7 |
| Alexei Ramirez | White Sox | 0.66 | 3.1 | 3.3 | 14 | .321 | 101 | 4 | 5.7 |
| Alcides Escobar | Royals | -0.18 | 2.9 | 2.7 | 2 | .301 | 90 | -0.8 | 9.9 |
| Jose Reyes | Blue Jays | 0.76 | 2.8 | 2.4 | 9 | .322 | 102 | 6.2 | 0.7 |
| Ian Desmond | Nationals | 0.39 | 2.7 | 2.0 | 22 | .319 | 101 | 4.1 | 3.6 |
| Starlin Castro | Cubs | 1.04 | 2.7 | 2.2 | 14 | .341 | 114 | 6.4 | 1.3 |
| Hanley Ramirez | Dodgers | 1.26 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 13 | .349 | 125 | 14.3 | -6.8 |
His nERD of 1.36 means a lineup full of Jhonny Peraltas would score 1.36 runs a game more than a lineup full of league average hitters, tops among all MLB shortstops. He also has the top Wins Above Replacement (fWAR and rWAR) among his peers at the position, with his 5.5 fWAR 5th among all NL position players and his 5.3 fWAR tied for 4th in the National League.
His .270/.344/.461 slash line is slightly better than his career numbers (.268/.331/.428) but not too far off. His walk rate of 9.5% is the best its been since 2005, his first full season in the Majors, and his 17.9% strikeout rate is the lowest its been since 2011. He notched career hit #1500 on Sunday, and our projections see him finishing the season at .267/.343/.456, with an OPS of .799, a weighted on-base average (wOBA) of .346, 22 HRs and 74 RBIs.
And aside from his offensive prowess, his defense has also been huge, third among all National League shortstops in Defensive Runs Saved, at +17.
Yet his name has not come up much in the MVP discussion. Much of that is probably due to the stigma of being caught using a performance enhancing drug, in addition to the performances of players like Baseball Reference's offensive WAR (oWAR) to Peralta's 3.7 is Matt Carpenter at 3.0. Yadier Molina, who in reality is the team's most valuable player, only recently came off the disabled list, and many of the remaining St. Louis hitters have not had terrific years in terms of run production.
Backed by pitching and their usual excellent defense, the St. Louis Cardinals appear to be steaming toward yet another National League playoff birth. This time around, they're probably not the best team in the league, but the Cardinal Way always seems to win baseball games when it matters most.
And Jhonny Peralta is a big reason why.