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Pitchers
Justin Verlander ($10,800)
Through 45.2 innings this season, Verlander has slightly underperformed his 1.38 Earned Run Average when examining his unsustainable 94.7% left on-base percentage and his 3.38 expected Fielding Independent Pitching rating.
Despite some regression concerns, Houston's 39-year old right-hander has a decent matchup on Saturday night against a Texas Rangers' lineup with a low 73.8% contact percentage and a 22.9% K-rate including five projected starters with strikeout percentages over 24.3%.
At his highest salary point this season, Verlander currently stands as numberFire's third ranked pitcher with a 29.9 FanDuel point expectation and 5.5 strikeouts.
Brandon Woodruff ($9,500)
After a 36.0 fantasy performance in his last start, Milwaukee's veteran is trending in the right direction with his recent 16.0% swinging strike rate and 3.55 expected FIP.
Woodruff will take the mound at home against a Washington Nationals' team with a low 0.293 weighted on-base average (wOBA) and a 23.5% projected K-rate against right-handers in the last two seasons.
At his second lowest salary point this season, Woodruff's opportunity on Saturday presents plenty of upside as numberFire's top rated pitcher with a 37.0 FanDuel point projection and 6.96 strikeouts.
Frankie Montas ($9,000)
Overall, Oakland's 29-year old right-hander meets all the requirements of a pitcher in ideal form after he recorded a 3.00 expected FIP and a 27.2% strikeout percentage in 49.0 innings this season.
With a favorable matchup against a Los Angeles Angels' lineup with a mouth-watering 28.0% expected K-rate including seven projected hitters with strikeout percentages over 24.7%, Montas is an intriguing option at this lowest salary during May.
Stacks
In a matchup against Patrick Corbin, Milwaukee's extreme right-handed lineup offers several enticing options against a struggling lefty with a current 4.40 expected FIP and a 19.8% K-rate.
Potential stack considerations from the right side including Tyrone Taylor (9% barrel rate, .343 expected wOBA), Luis Urias (.360 expected wOBA), Andrew McCutchen (8.9% barrel percentage) and Hunter Renfroe (14.1% barrel rate) can be used as a core group while Christian Yelich (15.5% barrel percentage, 53.4% hard hit rate) should still be considered with his hot current form.
Kyle Bradish will take the hill against a Rays' team projected for an underrated 4.6 runs. Although the 25-year old has produced a 3.34 expected FIP and a 25.3% strikeout rate through four starts this season, Bradish has allowed noticeable reverse splits with a 4.62 expected FIP and a 21.1% home-run to fly-ball percentage against right-handers.
With these weaknesses in mind, Tampa Bay's stacks can start with Yandy Diaz (.363 expected wOBA), Harold Ramirez (.360 expected average), and Randy Arozarena (40.2% hard hit rate) while Kevin Kiermaier (9% barrel rate) and Ji-Man Choi (13% barrel rate, .360 expected wOBA) contain power upside.