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Pitchers
Pablo Lopez ($10,000)
In his sixth Major League season, Miami's right-hander has taken an impressive leap through 59.0 innings, recording a 3.08 expected Fielding Independent Pitching (FIP) rating, a 14.2% swinging strike rate (11.5% career) and a 26.5% K-percentage.
While Lopez stands as Saturday's most expensive pitcher, the 26-year old has a sneaky spot against a San Francisco Giants' lineup with a projected 27.3% strikeout percentage and a .310 weighted one-base average (wOBA).
At his third lowest salary this season, Lopez stands as numberFire's second rated pitcher with a 31.8 FanDuel point projection and 5.8 expected strikeouts.
Dylan Cease ($9,600)
numberFire's top overall pitcher is a slightly cheaper option to consider with a 3.64 value rating, a 34.9 fantasy expectation, and 7.0 strikeouts.
In his last six starts, the 26-year old has matched his expected seasonal form with a 3.04 expected FIP rating while creating strikeouts at an impressive 35.3% rate.
Cease will have another favorable opportunity to rack up fantasy production versus a Tampa Bay Rays' team with a 25.3% strikeout rate and a .294 wOBA.
MacKenzie Gore ($9,200)
Through 42.0 career innings, San Diego's rookie has displayed exciting potential with a 28.3% K-rate, a 3.31 expected FIP, and a 11.0% swinging percentage.
In a matchup against a Milwaukee Brewers' lineup with a .294 weighted on-base average and a 25.0% K-rate in this particular split, Gore is definitely an option to consider with 5.94 expected strikeouts and a 3.36 value rating.
Nick Pivetta ($9,000)
Despite a 4.6% salary increase, Bostons' right-hander is another value option with a 22.8% strikeout percentage against a vulnerable Oakland Athletics' team with a .267 expected wOBA and a 26.1% K-rate.
While his matchup is probably the most appealing part of Pivetta's daily fantasy profile, the 29-year old has overall performed slightly better than most of his career norms through 54.2 innings this season with a 4.03 expected FIP (4.09 career FIP) and a 4.04 Skill Interactive Earned Run Average (4.09 career SIERA).
Stacks
After a ten-run explosion on Friday night, the Astros will have another advantageous opportunity to pile up offense against Kansas City's left-hander Kris Bubic.
In 193.1 career innings, Bubic has overall struggled during his Major League tenure, recording a career 4.64 expected FIP, a 9.4% swinging strike rate, and a 10.9% walk percentage.
With pronounced reverse splits against lefty bats (5.76 career expected FIP), Houston stacks can contain hitters in ideal form from either side of the plate at multiple positions including Yordan Alvarez (17% barrel rate, .480 expected wOBA), Kyle Tucker (10.2% barrel percentage, .391 expected wOBA), Michael Brantley (.387 expected wOBA), Jose Altuve (.368 expected wOBA) and Jeremy Pena (11.4% barrel rate, .365 expected wOBA)
In a matchup against Marco Gonzales, the Rangers' lineup offers several attractive options against a regressing left-hander with a expected mark (4.90 FIP) over one run higher than his current ERA (3.55)
With overall neutral splits, lefty bats can still be included in Texas correlations including Corey Seager (9.5% barrel rate, .386 expected wOBA) and Nathaniel Lowe (7.2% barrel percentage) while Adolis Garcia (10.9% barrel rate), Mitch Garver (7.5% barrel percentage), and Marcus Semien are viable options from the right side.
Erick Fedde will make his 11th start this season against a Cincinnati team projected for a sneaky 5.1 runs. Although the 29-year old has reduced his expected metrics to a 4.32 FIP (career 4.47), Fedde has displayed recent concerns in May when examining his inconsistent command (11.8%) and unsustainable 80.4% left on-base percentage (71.2% career).
To best counter Fedde's strong ground-ball tendencies (50.7% career), we can target Reds' hitters who are likely to launch the ball in the air including Joey Votto (45.9% fly-ball percentage, 11.8% barrel rate), Brandon Drury (10.7% barrel rate, 37.8% fly-ball percentage), Mike Moustakas (49.7% fly-ball rate), and Tommy Pham (10.6% barrel rate, .381 wOBA).