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Let's check out the top options on today's main slate.
Pitchers
Max Fried ($10,300)
At his second highest salary point this season, Fried will take the mound in a tough spot versus a Los Angeles Dodgers' lineup with a 20.2% K-rate and a .313 weighted on-base average.
While his recent salary jump and matchup present negative factors to consider, Fried's current form is hard to ignore as the most important decision point when examining his career-best 2.91 expected Fielding Independent Pitching rating (xFIP) and 4.3% walk rate in 87.2 innings this season.
As numberFire's top ranked option, Fried's Saturday projection includes 33.0 FanDuel points and 5.9 strikeouts in 5.9 expected innings.
Logan Gilbert ($10,100)
Among today's top-salary options over 10K, Gilbert is another candidate to consider with a solid 3.62 xFIP and a 24.8% K-rate versus a Los Angeles Angels' squad with a 25.9% strikeout percentage and a 72.0% contact rate in their last 335 plate appearances.
At his most expensive salary point this season, numberFire's models currently expect the 25-year old to record 29.1 FanDuel points and 5.37 strikeouts in 5.5 projected innings.
Logan Webb ($9,600)
Despite a 2.1% salary increase to his second highest point this month, San Francisco's right-hander still ranks fourth in value with a 3.42 rating and second overall with a 32.8 fantasy expectation.
In his fifth year starting with the Giants, the 25-year old has produced his second-best season in the Majors, accounting for a solid 3.15 xFIP and a 11.0% swinging strike rate in 85.2 innings including a recent stellar June (2.71 xFIP in his last four starts).
With a favorable matchup against a Cincinnati Reds' team with a weak .290 wOBA and seven projected hitters with K-rates over 20.5% and contact rates under 75.1%, Webb should have plenty of opportunities to reach his strikeout prediction at 5.4.
Stacks
Antonio Senzatela will make his 12th start this season against a Twins' lineup projected for a slate-leading 5.7 runs.
While the Rockies' right-hander has recently produced promising numbers with a 3.77 xFIP in June, Senzatela often struggles versus hitters from the opposing side of the plate (4.61 xFIP) and hard contact when he cannot keep the ball on the ground (50.1% career rate, 12.6% home-run to fly-ball percentage).
To best counter his weaknesses, fly-ball hitters from the left side should be the top choices in Minnesota correlations starting with Max Kepler (40.7% fly-ball percentage, 8.4% barrel rate) while Byron Buxton (47.7% fly-ball percentage, 16.9% barrel rate), Gary Sanchez (43.4% fly-ball rate, 16.9% barrel rate), Luis Arraez, and Nick Gordon (11.5% barrel rate) still profile well enough to include in potential stacks.
In a matchup versus Alex Faedo, the Diamondbacks' lineup offers several value options to exploit his trouble versus lefty hitters (5.68 xFIP in 22.1 innings).
With this weakness in mind, core Arizona bats should include Alek Thomas (7.6% barrel rate, .342 expected wOBA), Daulton Varsho (8.4% barrel percentage), and David Peralta (.462 expected slugging) while Ketel Marte (44% hard hit rate) and Christian Walker (16.1% barrel rate, .408 expected wOBA) are viable infield candidates.
Despite yesterday's disappointing two-run performance, the Giants are an important decision point on Saturday's six-game slate versus journeyman lefty Mike Minor.
While the lefty deserves plenty of credit for playing in the Majors since 2010, the 34-year old has performed at a career-worst level through 20.2 innings, recording a concerning 5.27 xFIP, a 17.9% strikeout percentage, and a 8.4% walk rate.
With clear struggles versus righty bats (career 4.34 expected FIP), San Francisco stacking can start with Evan Longoria (13.9% barrel rate, .513 expected slugging), Austin Slater (12.7% barrel rate, .381 expected wOBA), and Darin Ruf (8% barrel percentage, .345 expected wOBA) while Mike Yastrzemski (11% barrel rate, .363 wOBA) can be included with his recent batted ball form.