MLB Betting: Home Run, Strikeout, and Run Total Projections for Wednesday 9/28/22
Just how likely is a homer from a certain player tonight? How many runs will Team X score? And can the pitcher you're eying go over his strikeout prop?
To find out, I leveraged numberFire's batter and pitcher projections plus team implied totals to try to answer those questions.
Here are today's results to help us navigate daily fantasy baseball and MLB betting opportunities at MLB odds.
(Please note that these projections are subject to change throughout the day and as lineups are confirmed. To see the most current projections, check out our projections pages.)
Team Run Total Projections
| Team | Opp SP | O/U | Implied Total |
5+ | 6+ | 7+ | 8+ | 9+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATL | Josiah Gray | 8.5 | 4.93 | 37.2% | 22.8% | 12.6% | 6.4% | 2.9% |
| LAA | Adrian Martinez | 8.5 | 4.80 | 34.9% | 20.9% | 11.3% | 5.6% | 2.5% |
| SF | Jose Urena | 8.5 | 4.69 | 33.0% | 19.4% | 10.3% | 5.0% | 2.2% |
| BOS | Dean Kremer | 9.0 | 4.67 | 32.6% | 19.1% | 10.1% | 4.9% | 2.1% |
| BAL | Rich Hill | 9.0 | 4.33 | 26.8% | 14.8% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| MIN | Johnny Cueto | 8.0 | 4.02 | 21.8% | 11.3% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| LAD | Joe Musgrove | 7.5 | 3.99 | 21.3% | 11.0% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| CHW | Josh Winder | 8.0 | 3.98 | 21.2% | 10.9% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| NYM | Jesus Luzardo | 7.0 | 3.96 | 20.9% | 10.7% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| DET | Daniel Lynch | 7.5 | 3.93 | 20.4% | 10.4% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| NYY | Mitch White | 7.5 | 3.89 | 19.8% | 10.0% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| PIT | Luis Cessa | 7.5 | 3.84 | 19.0% | 9.5% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| COL | Sean Hjelle | 8.5 | 3.81 | 18.6% | 9.2% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| MIL | Jose Quintana | 7.0 | 3.80 | 18.4% | 9.1% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| OAK | Michael Lorenzen | 8.5 | 3.70 | 17.0% | 8.2% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| PHI | Hayden Wesneski | 6.5 | 3.69 | 16.8% | 8.1% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| CIN | Bryse Wilson | 7.5 | 3.66 | 16.4% | 7.8% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| HOU | Zac Gallen | 6.5 | 3.65 | 16.3% | 7.7% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| TOR | Gerrit Cole | 7.5 | 3.61 | 15.7% | 7.4% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| KC | Matt Manning | 7.5 | 3.57 | 15.2% | 7.1% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| WSH | Jake Odorizzi | 8.5 | 3.57 | 15.2% | 7.1% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| SEA | Martin Perez | 6.5 | 3.56 | 15.0% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| SD | Julio Urias | 7.5 | 3.51 | 14.4% | 6.6% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| CLE | Tyler Glasnow | 6.5 | 3.39 | 12.8% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| STL | Brandon Woodruff | 7.0 | 3.20 | 10.5% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| TB | Triston McKenzie | 6.5 | 3.11 | 9.5% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| MIA | Taijuan Walker | 7.0 | 3.04 | 8.8% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| TEX | George Kirby | 6.5 | 2.94 | 7.8% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| ARI | Justin Verlander | 6.5 | 2.85 | 7.0% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| CHC | Aaron Nola | 6.5 | 2.81 | 6.6% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Pitcher Strikeout Projections
| Pitcher | Opp | K Proj |
3+ | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ | 7+ | 8+ | 9+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Nola | CHC | 7.4 | 93.6% | 85.8% | 74.4% | 60.4% | 45.6% | 32.0% | 20.9% |
| Brandon Woodruff | STL | 7.2 | 92.7% | 84.3% | 72.2% | 57.7% | 42.8% | 29.5% | 18.8% |
| Gerrit Cole | TOR | 6.9 | 91.5% | 82.1% | 69.0% | 54.0% | 39.1% | 26.2% | 16.2% |
| Justin Verlander | ARI | 6.2 | 86.7% | 74.2% | 58.7% | 42.7% | 28.5% | 17.5% | 9.9% |
| Triston McKenzie | TB | 6.2 | 86.5% | 74.0% | 58.4% | 42.4% | 28.3% | 17.3% | 9.8% |
| Zac Gallen | HOU | 5.9 | 84.1% | 70.3% | 54.0% | 37.9% | 24.4% | 14.4% | 7.8% |
| Julio Urias | SD | 5.9 | 83.7% | 69.7% | 53.3% | 37.3% | 23.8% | 14.0% | 7.5% |
| Jesus Luzardo | NYM | 5.7 | 81.8% | 67.0% | 50.2% | 34.2% | 21.3% | 12.2% | 6.4% |
| Hayden Wesneski | PHI | 5.6 | 80.6% | 65.3% | 48.3% | 32.5% | 19.9% | 11.2% | 5.7% |
| Joe Musgrove | LAD | 5.5 | 79.7% | 64.1% | 46.9% | 31.2% | 18.9% | 10.5% | 5.3% |
| George Kirby | TEX | 5.4 | 78.8% | 62.8% | 45.6% | 30.0% | 18.0% | 9.8% | 4.9% |
| Tyler Glasnow | CLE | 5.1 | 74.7% | 57.5% | 40.0% | 25.1% | 14.3% | 7.4% | 3.5% |
| Martin Perez | SEA | 5.1 | 74.5% | 57.2% | 39.6% | 24.8% | 14.1% | 7.3% | 3.4% |
| Josiah Gray | ATL | 4.9 | 71.3% | 53.3% | 35.8% | 21.6% | 11.8% | 5.9% | 2.7% |
| Rich Hill | BAL | 4.8 | 70.4% | 52.2% | 34.7% | 20.8% | 11.2% | 5.5% | 2.5% |
| Taijuan Walker | MIA | 4.6 | 67.8% | 49.1% | 31.8% | 18.5% | 9.7% | 4.6% | 2.0% |
| Matt Manning | KC | 4.6 | 67.8% | 49.1% | 31.8% | 18.5% | 9.7% | 4.6% | 2.0% |
| Johnny Cueto | MIN | 4.6 | 66.6% | 47.7% | 30.6% | 17.5% | 9.1% | 4.3% | 1.8% |
| Dean Kremer | BOS | 4.5 | 66.3% | 47.4% | 30.2% | 17.3% | 8.9% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Michael Lorenzen | OAK | 4.4 | 63.9% | 44.7% | 27.8% | 15.5% | 7.8% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| Jose Quintana | MIL | 4.4 | 63.2% | 43.9% | 27.2% | 15.0% | 7.5% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Jake Odorizzi | WSH | 4.3 | 63.0% | 43.7% | 27.0% | 14.9% | 7.4% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Daniel Lynch | DET | 4.3 | 61.9% | 42.6% | 26.0% | 14.2% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Adrian Martinez | LAA | 4.2 | 59.5% | 40.0% | 23.9% | 12.7% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Sean Hjelle | COL | 4.0 | 56.8% | 37.3% | 21.6% | 11.2% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Mitch White | NYY | 4.0 | 56.3% | 36.7% | 21.2% | 10.9% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Jose Urena | SF | 3.8 | 52.4% | 33.0% | 18.3% | 9.0% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Josh Winder | CHW | 3.7 | 49.7% | 30.5% | 16.4% | 7.8% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Bryse Wilson | CIN | 3.5 | 46.8% | 27.8% | 14.5% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Luis Cessa | PIT | 3.5 | 45.5% | 26.7% | 13.7% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
Daily Batter Home Run Projections
You can view all MLB game and prop odds at MLB odds.
Notes: The "Split Adv?" column refers to whether a batter is starting the game against a pitcher of the opposite handedness. "Home Run PF" refers to home run park factor for the batter's handedness; data from FanGraphs. "xHR Odds" indicate what a player's home run odds should be given the home run probability; this helps seek value.
| Batter | Team | Split Adv? |
HR PF |
Opp SP |
HR Prob% |
xHR Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rhys Hoskins | PHI | No | 103 | Hayden Wesneski | 28.6% | +250 |
| Shohei Ohtani | LAA | Yes | 108 | Adrian Martinez | 27.9% | +260 |
| Matt Olson | ATL | Yes | 104 | Josiah Gray | 27.3% | +265 |
| Bryce Harper | PHI | Yes | 96 | Hayden Wesneski | 27.2% | +270 |
| Mike Trout | LAA | No | 103 | Adrian Martinez | 26.4% | +280 |
| Austin Riley | ATL | No | 106 | Josiah Gray | 26.0% | +285 |
| Paul Goldschmidt | STL | No | 103 | Brandon Woodruff | 25.1% | +300 |
| Ronald Acuna | ATL | No | 106 | Josiah Gray | 24.2% | +310 |
| Kyle Schwarber | PHI | Yes | 96 | Hayden Wesneski | 23.9% | +320 |
| Dansby Swanson | ATL | No | 106 | Josiah Gray | 23.8% | +320 |
| Nolan Arenado | STL | No | 103 | Brandon Woodruff | 23.3% | +330 |
| Aaron Judge | NYY | No | 101 | Mitch White | 22.5% | +345 |
| Joc Pederson | SF | Yes | 87 | Jose Urena | 22.0% | +355 |
| J.T. Realmuto | PHI | No | 103 | Hayden Wesneski | 21.8% | +360 |
| David Villar | SF | No | 90 | Jose Urena | 21.7% | +360 |
| Rafael Devers | BOS | Yes | 93 | Dean Kremer | 21.6% | +365 |
| Yoan Moncada | CHW | Yes | 99 | Josh Winder | 21.6% | +365 |
| Gavin Sheets | CHW | Yes | 99 | Josh Winder | 21.6% | +365 |
| Pete Alonso | NYM | Yes | 98 | Jesus Luzardo | 21.6% | +365 |
| Yordan Alvarez | HOU | Yes | 102 | Zac Gallen | 21.5% | +365 |
| Seth Brown | OAK | Yes | 108 | Michael Lorenzen | 21.3% | +370 |
| Travis d'Arnaud | ATL | No | 106 | Josiah Gray | 21.2% | +370 |
| Giancarlo Stanton | NYY | No | 101 | Mitch White | 21.0% | +375 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | TOR | No | 101 | Gerrit Cole | 21.0% | +375 |
| J.D. Martinez | BOS | No | 99 | Dean Kremer | 20.7% | +385 |
| Willy Adames | MIL | Yes | 103 | Jose Quintana | 20.7% | +385 |
| Eloy Jimenez | CHW | No | 98 | Josh Winder | 20.5% | +385 |
| Christian Walker | ARI | No | 101 | Justin Verlander | 20.5% | +390 |
| Bryan Reynolds | PIT | Yes | 95 | Luis Cessa | 20.4% | +390 |
| TJ Friedl | CIN | Yes | 95 | Bryse Wilson | 20.4% | +390 |
| Trea Turner | LAD | No | 96 | Joe Musgrove | 20.2% | +395 |
| Manny Machado | SD | Yes | 96 | Julio Urias | 20.2% | +395 |
| Michael Harris II | ATL | Yes | 104 | Josiah Gray | 20.2% | +395 |
| Matt Chapman | TOR | No | 101 | Gerrit Cole | 19.9% | +400 |
| MJ Melendez | KC | Yes | 94 | Matt Manning | 19.8% | +405 |
| Taylor Ward | LAA | No | 103 | Adrian Martinez | 19.7% | +410 |
| Sean Murphy | OAK | No | 103 | Michael Lorenzen | 19.7% | +410 |
| Luke Voit | WSH | No | 106 | Jake Odorizzi | 19.5% | +415 |
| Jose Altuve | HOU | No | 101 | Zac Gallen | 19.4% | +415 |
| George Springer | TOR | No | 101 | Gerrit Cole | 19.4% | +415 |
| Mookie Betts | LAD | No | 96 | Joe Musgrove | 19.2% | +420 |
| Willson Contreras | CHC | No | 103 | Aaron Nola | 19.1% | +425 |
| Lane Thomas | WSH | No | 106 | Jake Odorizzi | 18.9% | +430 |
| Carlos Santana | SEA | Yes | 99 | Martin Perez | 18.9% | +430 |
| Eric Haase | DET | Yes | 99 | Daniel Lynch | 18.9% | +430 |
| Ryan Mountcastle | BAL | Yes | 99 | Rich Hill | 18.9% | +430 |
| Jose Ramirez | CLE | Yes | 103 | Tyler Glasnow | 18.8% | +430 |
| Emmanuel Rivera | ARI | No | 101 | Justin Verlander | 18.8% | +430 |
| C.J. Cron | COL | No | 90 | Sean Hjelle | 18.8% | +430 |
| Anthony Rizzo | NYY | Yes | 94 | Mitch White | 18.7% | +435 |
| Corey Seager | TEX | Yes | 96 | George Kirby | 18.4% | +445 |
| Anthony Santander | BAL | Yes | 99 | Rich Hill | 18.3% | +445 |
| Danny Jansen | TOR | No | 101 | Gerrit Cole | 18.2% | +450 |
| Francisco Lindor | NYM | Yes | 98 | Jesus Luzardo | 18.1% | +450 |
| Kyle Tucker | HOU | Yes | 102 | Zac Gallen | 18.1% | +450 |
| Will Smith | LAD | No | 96 | Joe Musgrove | 18.1% | +455 |
| Stuart Fairchild | CIN | No | 92 | Bryse Wilson | 18.0% | +455 |
| Nick Maton | PHI | Yes | 96 | Hayden Wesneski | 17.8% | +460 |
| Cedric Mullins | BAL | Yes | 99 | Rich Hill | 17.7% | +465 |
| Josh Donaldson | NYY | No | 101 | Mitch White | 17.6% | +465 |
| Teoscar Hernandez | TOR | No | 101 | Gerrit Cole | 17.6% | +465 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | SF | Yes | 87 | Jose Urena | 17.6% | +470 |
| Daulton Varsho | ARI | Yes | 102 | Justin Verlander | 17.5% | +470 |
| Adolis Garcia | TEX | No | 99 | George Kirby | 17.4% | +475 |
| Albert Pujols | STL | No | 103 | Brandon Woodruff | 17.3% | +480 |
| Elvis Andrus | CHW | No | 98 | Josh Winder | 17.2% | +480 |
| Bo Bichette | TOR | No | 101 | Gerrit Cole | 17.0% | +485 |
| Michael Brosseau | MIL | Yes | 103 | Jose Quintana | 16.9% | +490 |
| Salvador Perez | KC | No | 99 | Matt Manning | 16.8% | +495 |
| Randy Arozarena | TB | No | 99 | Triston McKenzie | 16.8% | +495 |
| Isaac Paredes | TB | No | 99 | Triston McKenzie | 16.8% | +495 |
| Max Muncy | LAD | Yes | 95 | Joe Musgrove | 16.5% | +505 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | KC | No | 99 | Matt Manning | 16.2% | +520 |
| Gary Sanchez | MIN | No | 98 | Johnny Cueto | 16.0% | +525 |
| Brandon Drury | SD | Yes | 96 | Julio Urias | 16.0% | +525 |
| Jake Fraley | CIN | Yes | 95 | Bryse Wilson | 15.9% | +530 |
| Trey Mancini | HOU | No | 101 | Zac Gallen | 15.8% | +535 |
| Gleyber Torres | NYY | No | 101 | Mitch White | 15.8% | +535 |
| Orlando Arcia | ATL | No | 106 | Josiah Gray | 15.7% | +535 |
| Eduardo Escobar | NYM | Yes | 98 | Jesus Luzardo | 15.6% | +540 |
| Keston Hiura | MIL | Yes | 103 | Jose Quintana | 15.5% | +545 |
| Lars Nootbaar | STL | Yes | 101 | Brandon Woodruff | 15.4% | +550 |
| Bryan De La Cruz | MIA | No | 98 | Taijuan Walker | 15.4% | +550 |
| Freddie Freeman | LAD | Yes | 95 | Joe Musgrove | 15.3% | +555 |
| Marcell Ozuna | ATL | No | 106 | Josiah Gray | 15.1% | +565 |
| Austin Hays | BAL | Yes | 99 | Rich Hill | 15.0% | +565 |
| Ty France | SEA | Yes | 99 | Martin Perez | 15.0% | +565 |
| Brandon Crawford | SF | Yes | 87 | Jose Urena | 14.8% | +575 |
| Ryan McMahon | COL | Yes | 87 | Sean Hjelle | 14.8% | +575 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | SF | Yes | 87 | Jose Urena | 14.8% | +575 |
| Jose Abreu | CHW | No | 98 | Josh Winder | 14.8% | +575 |
| Franmil Reyes | CHC | No | 103 | Aaron Nola | 14.7% | +580 |
| Justin Turner | LAD | No | 96 | Joe Musgrove | 14.5% | +590 |
| Alex Bregman | HOU | No | 101 | Zac Gallen | 14.5% | +590 |
| Joey Meneses | WSH | No | 106 | Jake Odorizzi | 14.4% | +595 |
| Wilmer Flores | SF | No | 90 | Jose Urena | 14.4% | +595 |
| Andres Gimenez | CLE | Yes | 103 | Tyler Glasnow | 14.3% | +600 |
| Wander Franco | TB | Yes | 103 | Triston McKenzie | 14.3% | +600 |
| Juan Soto | SD | No | 95 | Julio Urias | 14.3% | +600 |
| Kole Calhoun | TEX | Yes | 96 | George Kirby | 14.2% | +605 |
| Nathaniel Lowe | TEX | Yes | 96 | George Kirby | 14.2% | +605 |
| Andrew Vaughn | CHW | No | 98 | Josh Winder | 14.1% | +610 |
| Andrew McCutchen | MIL | Yes | 103 | Jose Quintana | 14.1% | +610 |
| Joey Gallo | LAD | Yes | 95 | Joe Musgrove | 14.0% | +615 |
| Ben Gamel | PIT | Yes | 95 | Luis Cessa | 14.0% | +615 |
| Cody Bellinger | LAD | Yes | 95 | Joe Musgrove | 14.0% | +615 |
| Jake Cave | MIN | Yes | 99 | Johnny Cueto | 13.8% | +620 |
| Jeremy Pena | HOU | No | 101 | Zac Gallen | 13.8% | +625 |
| Adley Rutschman | BAL | Yes | 99 | Rich Hill | 13.6% | +635 |
| Jonah Heim | TEX | Yes | 96 | George Kirby | 13.5% | +640 |
| Luis Rengifo | LAA | Yes | 108 | Adrian Martinez | 13.4% | +645 |
| Oneil Cruz | PIT | Yes | 95 | Luis Cessa | 13.4% | +650 |
| Hunter Renfroe | MIL | Yes | 103 | Jose Quintana | 13.4% | +650 |
| Carlos Correa | MIN | No | 98 | Johnny Cueto | 12.8% | +680 |
| Corbin Carroll | ARI | Yes | 102 | Justin Verlander | 12.8% | +685 |
| Jarred Kelenic | SEA | No | 96 | Martin Perez | 12.7% | +685 |
| Shea Langeliers | OAK | No | 103 | Michael Lorenzen | 12.6% | +690 |
| Charlie Blackmon | COL | Yes | 87 | Sean Hjelle | 12.4% | +705 |
| Oscar Gonzalez | CLE | No | 99 | Tyler Glasnow | 12.2% | +720 |
| Josh Jung | TEX | No | 99 | George Kirby | 12.2% | +720 |
| Riley Adams | WSH | No | 106 | Jake Odorizzi | 12.2% | +720 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino | KC | Yes | 94 | Matt Manning | 11.9% | +740 |
| Stephen Vogt | OAK | Yes | 108 | Michael Lorenzen | 11.9% | +745 |
| Conner Capel | OAK | Yes | 108 | Michael Lorenzen | 11.9% | +745 |
| Alex Verdugo | BOS | Yes | 93 | Dean Kremer | 11.8% | +745 |
| Enrique Hernandez | BOS | No | 99 | Dean Kremer | 11.5% | +770 |
| Jose Siri | TB | No | 99 | Triston McKenzie | 11.5% | +770 |
| Dylan Moore | SEA | Yes | 99 | Martin Perez | 11.4% | +775 |
| Mark Canha | NYM | Yes | 98 | Jesus Luzardo | 11.3% | +785 |
| Cal Mitchell | PIT | Yes | 95 | Luis Cessa | 11.3% | +785 |
| Randal Grichuk | COL | No | 90 | Sean Hjelle | 11.2% | +790 |
| Austin Slater | SF | No | 90 | Jose Urena | 11.2% | +790 |
| Jason Vosler | SF | Yes | 87 | Jose Urena | 11.1% | +800 |
| Ha-Seong Kim | SD | Yes | 96 | Julio Urias | 11.1% | +800 |
| Luis Urias | MIL | Yes | 103 | Jose Quintana | 11.0% | +805 |
| Tyrone Taylor | MIL | Yes | 103 | Jose Quintana | 11.0% | +805 |
| Carson Kelly | ARI | No | 101 | Justin Verlander | 11.0% | +810 |
| Yu Chang | BOS | No | 99 | Dean Kremer | 10.8% | +830 |
| Ildemaro Vargas | WSH | Yes | 104 | Jake Odorizzi | 10.7% | +835 |
| Mitch Haniger | SEA | Yes | 99 | Martin Perez | 10.7% | +840 |
| David Peralta | TB | Yes | 103 | Triston McKenzie | 10.6% | +840 |
| Oswaldo Cabrera | NYY | Yes | 94 | Mitch White | 10.5% | +850 |
| Dylan Carlson | STL | Yes | 101 | Brandon Woodruff | 10.4% | +860 |
| Triston Casas | BOS | Yes | 93 | Dean Kremer | 10.4% | +860 |
| Seiya Suzuki | CHC | No | 103 | Aaron Nola | 10.4% | +860 |
| Jurickson Profar | SD | Yes | 96 | Julio Urias | 10.4% | +865 |
| Spencer Steer | CIN | No | 92 | Bryse Wilson | 10.1% | +890 |
| Gunnar Henderson | BAL | No | 93 | Rich Hill | 10.1% | +895 |
| Marcus Semien | TEX | No | 99 | George Kirby | 10.0% | +895 |
| Myles Straw | CLE | No | 99 | Tyler Glasnow | 10.0% | +895 |
| Ian Happ | CHC | Yes | 96 | Aaron Nola | 10.0% | +900 |
| Brandon Marsh | PHI | Yes | 96 | Hayden Wesneski | 10.0% | +900 |
| A.J. Pollock | CHW | No | 98 | Josh Winder | 10.0% | +905 |
| Nick Fortes | MIA | No | 98 | Taijuan Walker | 10.0% | +905 |
| Lewin Diaz | MIA | Yes | 95 | Taijuan Walker | 9.9% | +910 |
| Robinson Chirinos | BAL | Yes | 99 | Rich Hill | 9.9% | +915 |
| Abraham Toro | SEA | Yes | 99 | Martin Perez | 9.9% | +915 |
| Drew Waters | KC | Yes | 94 | Matt Manning | 9.8% | +920 |
| Brendan Donovan | STL | Yes | 101 | Brandon Woodruff | 9.7% | +935 |
| Christopher Morel | CHC | No | 103 | Aaron Nola | 9.6% | +940 |
| Jordan Diaz | OAK | No | 103 | Michael Lorenzen | 9.6% | +940 |
| Wil Myers | SD | Yes | 96 | Julio Urias | 9.6% | +940 |
| Nick Gordon | MIN | Yes | 99 | Johnny Cueto | 9.5% | +955 |
| Alejandro Kirk | TOR | No | 101 | Gerrit Cole | 9.5% | +955 |
| Bryson Stott | PHI | Yes | 96 | Hayden Wesneski | 9.2% | +985 |
| Elias Diaz | COL | No | 90 | Sean Hjelle | 9.2% | +985 |
| Gio Urshela | MIN | No | 98 | Johnny Cueto | 9.2% | +985 |
| Mike Toglia | COL | Yes | 87 | Sean Hjelle | 9.1% | +995 |
| Jorge Mateo | BAL | Yes | 99 | Rich Hill | 9.1% | +1005 |
| Steven Kwan | CLE | Yes | 103 | Tyler Glasnow | 9.0% | +1010 |
| Josh Bell | SD | Yes | 96 | Julio Urias | 8.8% | +1035 |
| Jorge Alfaro | SD | Yes | 96 | Julio Urias | 8.8% | +1035 |
| Martin Maldonado | HOU | No | 101 | Zac Gallen | 8.7% | +1050 |
| Chas McCormick | HOU | No | 101 | Zac Gallen | 8.7% | +1050 |
| Mickey Moniak | LAA | Yes | 108 | Adrian Martinez | 8.6% | +1065 |
| Livan Soto | LAA | Yes | 108 | Adrian Martinez | 8.6% | +1065 |
| Xander Bogaerts | BOS | No | 99 | Dean Kremer | 8.5% | +1070 |
| Harold Ramirez | TB | No | 99 | Triston McKenzie | 8.5% | +1070 |
| JJ Bleday | MIA | Yes | 95 | Taijuan Walker | 8.4% | +1090 |
| Riley Greene | DET | No | 94 | Daniel Lynch | 8.3% | +1100 |
| Cavan Biggio | TOR | Yes | 94 | Gerrit Cole | 8.3% | +1105 |
| Curt Casali | SEA | Yes | 99 | Martin Perez | 8.2% | +1115 |
| Javier Baez | DET | Yes | 99 | Daniel Lynch | 8.2% | +1115 |
| Willi Castro | DET | Yes | 99 | Daniel Lynch | 8.2% | +1115 |
| Spencer Torkelson | DET | Yes | 99 | Daniel Lynch | 8.2% | +1115 |
| Francisco Mejia | TB | Yes | 103 | Triston McKenzie | 8.2% | +1120 |
| Alek Thomas | ARI | Yes | 102 | Justin Verlander | 8.1% | +1130 |
| Yasmani Grandal | CHW | Yes | 99 | Josh Winder | 7.9% | +1165 |
| Jose Trevino | NYY | No | 101 | Mitch White | 7.9% | +1165 |
| Brandon Nimmo | NYM | No | 95 | Jesus Luzardo | 7.8% | +1190 |
| Manuel Margot | TB | No | 99 | Triston McKenzie | 7.7% | +1190 |
| Amed Rosario | CLE | No | 99 | Tyler Glasnow | 7.7% | +1190 |
| Bubba Thompson | TEX | No | 99 | George Kirby | 7.7% | +1190 |
| Mike Ford | LAA | Yes | 108 | Adrian Martinez | 7.7% | +1200 |
| Brian Anderson | MIA | No | 98 | Taijuan Walker | 7.7% | +1205 |
| Jose Miranda | MIN | No | 98 | Johnny Cueto | 7.7% | +1205 |
| Jerar Encarnacion | MIA | No | 98 | Taijuan Walker | 7.7% | +1205 |
| Victor Caratini | MIL | Yes | 103 | Jose Quintana | 7.7% | +1205 |
| Rougned Odor | BAL | No | 93 | Rich Hill | 7.6% | +1215 |
