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The Three Top Pitchers

David Phelps - He holds the most expected fantasy points for a pitcher in most formats, yet he's mid-priced almost across the board since he's not one of the well-known Yankees starters. This one's a piece of cake. Facing the Astros, Phelps holds the highest projected wins (0.52) of any starter going tonight. His insanely high 29.0 percent strikeout rate this season doesn't hurt his fantasy value either - his 5.75 projected K's are the most of any pitcher tonight, barely beating out Cliff Lee. He's the guy you want.

Josh Beckett - Beckett may be 0-3, but his 19.2 percent K rate and his 6.2 percent BB rate show he's pitching right in line with expectations, just getting unlucky. A 6.2 percent home run rate certainly doesn't help, but that number is unsustainable, even against a Rockies team with the second-most homeruns in the majors. All his current numbers have done is drive down his cost, but that's why we look for inefficiencies. Go with the stats - the wins will come in time, perhaps tonight.

Hiram Burgos - Looking for a cheap but serviceable pitcher? Brewers rookie Hiram Burgos is your man. Through only two starts this season, Burgos may not miss many bats (only a 9.1 percent strikeout rate), but he also won't put too many guys on base without a fight (4.6 percent walk rate). The main key is that opposing teams haven't been able to hit Burgos hard - only 11 percent of balls in play against him have been line drives. Considering the Pirates only hold the 19^th-best OBP in the majors at .312, I'm not too concerned about his matchup tonight, either.

Top High-Priced Hitters

Robinson Cano - Erik Bedard has allowed 11.0 hits per nine, 4.8 walks per nine, 61 percent of his allowed hits have gone for extra-bases, and 22.7 percent of the total fly balls he has allowed have gone for home runs. Honestly, I don't even care if those are from a small sample size (4 starts) or unsustainable - cut those numbers by 1/3 and I'm still all about it. Tonight should be a feast for Cano against that Astros pitching.

Buster Posey - It's not too often that a high-priced catcher gets me extremely riled up for his potential. Buster Posey tonight against Brandon McCarthy is one of them. McCarthy's 13.6 percent strikeout rate is about in line with expectations, but his 3.0 percent walk rate is lower than expected. That's not good, because if that number regresses to the mean, it only means an increase to his current insanely high 1.771 WHIP due to his 14.1 hits per nine allowed. Given Posey's recently-snapped 10 game hitting streak, starting a new one shouldn't be a problem tonight.

Mid-Range Cost-Effective Hitters

Everth Cabrera - I don't exactly like to trust Padres hitters, but feasting on Cubs pitching worked decently for me yesterday (Chase Headley: 2-6, 2B, 2K). Today, though, it's a lower-priced option that I'm going for. Shortstops are tough to predict fantasy relevancy for, but I'll take the guy who has gone 4-8 with 4 R already in this Cubs series. I don't see Scott Feldman and his 1.645 WHIP as a departure from the, umm, "pitching" the Padres have faced already in this series.

Lance Berkman - Chris Sale is a good pitcher whose numbers should return to the mean, but there is no reason for Berkman to be as low-cost across the board throughout multiple platforms. Berkman may not have re-discovered his home run form yet in Texas, but his batting eye is just as good as ever. His strikeout rate is his lowest since 2005 at 14.6 percent, while his walk rate is currently his highest ever at 19.1 percent. And that just means more runs opportunities in this strong Rangers lineup.