FanDuel Price: $7,900
Draymond Green has played exceptional basketball lately, averaging 37.3 FanDuel points over his past three and 36.3 over his past 12.
He will look to keep it going against the Portland Trail Blazers, who have allowed more FanDuel points to opposing power forwards than any team in the NBA and has allowed Green to average 42 FanDuel points against them over the past two seasons.
Vegas has the Warriors projected for 120 points, which leads the slate by a wide margin. The Dubs have played with an implied team total of 120-plus 11 times this season, the results of which are displayed in the table below.
The "In Split" displayed on the chart is games the Warriors played with over a 120-point implied team total while "Out of Split" displays all other games.
| Player | In Split | Out of Split |
|---|---|---|
| Steph Curry | 39.6 | 38.5 |
| Klay Thompson | 27.9 | 30.2 |
| Kevin Durant | 49.9 | 45.7 |
| Draymond Green | 40.8 | 35.5 |
Green has seen a 5.3-point increase in his FanDuel point total, which is the highest among Golden State's big four.
He's also proven to be fairly blowout-proof, averaging 40.7 FanDuel points in games the Warriors were projected for at least 120 and favored by at least 15 points this season. If we expand the sample size to last year's games, his average remains fairly static in projected blowouts, averaging 39.3 as opposed to 38 in all other games.
With Golden State projected for such a lofty total, Green is an excellent play. Even if the game gets ugly, he is likely to come close to reaching value. If Portland can keep it competitive, there's a chance he could crush value at just $7,900.