FanDuel Price: $12,500
James Harden dropped a dud in his last game, posting just 31 FanDuel points. Thanks to that performance, his average over his last five is down to just 55.2 FanDuel points.
Tonight, he's in a perfect spot to rebound against the Sacramento Kings, who rank 27th in defensive efficiency. The game is expected to be a shootout, with a 225-point over/under, which is the second-highest on the slate. The Houston Rockets have an implied team total of 118.25 points, which is nearly four points higher than any other team.
In 30 games with an over/under above 220 over the past two seasons, Harden has averaged 55.9 FanDuel points. Also, his FanDuel points average gets even higher (58.2) when his team has an implied total of at least 115 points.
Harden has been Jaime Lannister-esque over the past few years, averaging 33.8 points and 53.8 FanDuel points against the Kings in their past nine meetings. Given the positive game script, and Sacramento's poor defense, it would be surprising if Harden didn't bounce back in a big way.