FanDuel Price: $7,400
Brook Lopez disappointed against the Miami Heat on Monday, but a look at his performances in similar game scripts to tonight's matchup with the New York Knicks suggests that he should bounce back tonight.
Only one game has a higher over/under than the 223.5-point total in the matchup between the Brooklyn Nets and New York Knicks tonight. Brooklyn is expected to keep this one competitive against a banged-up Knicks team, boasting an implied team total of 110.5 points, which is the fifth-highest on the slate. The spread for this one is just 2.5 points, which is very encouraging for Lopez's outlook, as he has played much better in competitive games this season.
The table below breaks down Lopez's performance this season when playing in games the Nets have lost by double digits (left) and games they haven't (right).
| Brook Lopez Splits | Double-Digit Losses | Other Games |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 20 | 23 |
| Minutes | 27.2 | 30.2 |
| FanDuel Avg | 29.4 | 35.5 |
| DraftKings Avg | 31.2 | 40.2 |
| 35+ FanDuel Pts | 20.0% | 52.1% |
| 50+ FanDuel Pts | 0.0% | 13.0% |
Lopez has played much better in games that Brooklyn has kept close and has shown considerably more upside in those games as well. In close games, Lopez has exceeded 35 FanDuel points more than half of the time, as opposed to just 20 percent in less competitive games.
He's also played better in projected shootouts this season, averaging 35 FanDuel points in games with an over/under of at least 222 points. If game script holds up and this game remains competitive, there's a good chance that Lopez crushes value at his $7,400 price tag.