FanDuel Price: $12,700
James Harden and the Houston Rockets have the highest implied team total by a pretty large margin tonight, as they're projected for 117.25 points against the Orlando Magic. This game also has a 223 point over/under, which is the highest on the slate.
A look at Harden's splits via the RotoViz Game Splits App shows just how effective he has been when playing in similar game scripts.
When Houston is projected to score at least 115 points over the past two seasons, Harden has averaged 55.9 FanDuel points, as opposed to 49.1 in all other games. That average has jumped to 56.5 in 20 occurrences with an implied team total that high this season. In games with an over/under of at least 220 over the past two seasons, Harden has averaged 55.1 FanDuel points.
In games during that span with an over/under of 220-plus and an implied team total of 115-plus, he has averaged 56 FanDuel points, which is seven points higher than his average during others.
The 11.5-point spread is the highest on the slate and is a bit concerning, but with just three games to choose from, there's not much you can do about it. If the game script holds up and this is a high-scoring affair, Harden has a good chance to reach value, even at his elevated price tag.