FanDuel Price: $11,000
Nikola Jokic has been absolutely unstoppable recently, averaging 51.9 FanDuel points over his past 4 games. He also nearly dropped a triple-double in his most recent game, where he led the Denver Nuggets to victory over the Golden State Warriors.
He should have every opportunity to keep up his dominant stretch tonight, as the Nuggets take on the Minnesota Timberwolves in the game with the highest over/under (227.5 points) on the slate. Denver's 116.5-point implied team total is the third-highest on the slate and the highest among games with a single-digit spread.
Per the RotoViz Game Splits App, Jokic has thrived in similar situations this season, averaging 54 FanDuel points in games with an over/under of 225 or more points, along with 45 FanDuel points when there's an implied team total above 113 points. The two most recent examples of projected shootouts Jokic has been a part of are his 59.2-FanDuel-point performance against Golden State and a 60.3-point performance against the New York Knicks.
He should also benefit from an individual matchup against Karl-Anthony Towns, who has been a complete liability on the defensive end this season, ranking dead last among 70 qualified centers in defensive real plus-minus (DRPM). The most recent example of a player with an offensive skill set anywhere near Jokic's taking on the weak defense of Towns was when Anthony Davis exposed Towns last Friday night, scoring 42 points on 73% shooting.
Jokic's price has spiked, but given the game script and matchup, he could be worth every penny. He's a viable play in all formats.