FanDuel Price: $11,100
Giannis Antetokounmpo and the Milwaukee Bucks take on the Denver Nuggets in what has the second-highest over/under on the slate (224 points). The Bucks are listed as 3.0-point favorites, with a 113.50-point implied team total (third-highest on the slate and more than seven points above their season scoring average). Given Denver's league-worst defensive efficiency and sixth-fastest pace of play, it should come as no surprise that Milwaukee is projected to blow their season scoring average out of the water.
Per the RotoViz Game Splits App, Antetokounmpo has performed much better when playing in projected shootouts over the past two seasons.
He's averaged 53.6 FanDuel points in the only two games with an over/under this high during that span. But in 11 games with an over/under of at least 215, he has maintained his dominant level of play, averaging 53.4 FanDuel points, as opposed to 38.2 in all other situations.
The Bucks have played with an implied team total of at least 110 points 14 times over the past two seasons, and the Greek Freak has averaged 49.8 FanDuel points, a number that has jumped to 51.5 in five games this season.
With Michael Beasley out tonight, Antetokounmpo will likely be looking at all the minutes and usage he can handle. In a shootout against a susceptible Nuggets defense, he should have no trouble being productive.