NBA
NBA Playoffs: First-Round Matchup Projections
Here's how our algorithms see the first-round matchups of the 2018 NBA Playoffs playing out.

(3) Philadelphia 76ers vs. (6) Miami Heat

This might be the Philadelphia 76ers' (52-30) first postseason appearance in six years, but they're coming back in with a bang. Not only do they have the league's fourth-best nERD (62.8) and margin of victory (4.50), but they're riding a 16-game win streak into the first round of the playoffs.

Their opponent, the Miami Heat (44-38), are scrappy enough to take a game or two in this series, but ultimately, their 17th-ranked nERD (50.7) suggests that they're not quite on the Sixers' level and aren't all that likely of pulling off an upset.

Outcome(3) Philadelphia 76ers(6) Miami Heat
Win in 49.17%3.49%
Win in 520.67%
6.60%
Win in 616.38%13.87%
Win in 719.60%10.22%
Win series65.82%
34.18%
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