DraftKings Price: $11,200
James Harden's matchups against the Golden State Warriors this season have been about as different as possible. The Houston Rockets guard scored 27 points and 40.75 DraftKings points in a blowout win over the Warriors back in November. He then put up a 44-point, 15-assist, 10-board, 91.0-DraftKings-point triple-double during an overtime thriller in early January.
Which Harden will show up tonight? Our models suggest a bit of both. The fantasy potential in this game should be high, which should come as no surprise when these two teams meet. The total is set at 230.5 points, and the Rockets are just 3.5-point favorites, implying that we're about to see a close, fast-paced game.
The Rockets are on a nine-game winning streak, which, coincidentally, started with a win over Golden State (Harden missed that contest). The home court has been kind to the reigning MVP during this winning streak. He's averaged 62.6 DraftKings points at home compared to just 48.8 on the road. He's been better at home all season, in fact, though the difference is a more muted 5.8 DraftKings points.
Our models have Harden projected to score 55.6 DraftKings points tonight, with upside for much more. Due to his recent Jekyll and Hyde type of play, however, you might consider using him more heavily in tournaments than other types of contests.