Now that we're roughly a quarter through with the 2013-2014 NBA season, trends are becoming easier to find. Early in the season, whether your team was doing better or worse than expected, you could write it off as being too small of a sample size. But now - now we're dangerously close to the truth of how these teams will be this year.
So now that we have more secure trends, who has the best five-man lineup in the league? How about the worst?
For the lineups below, I set a season minute minimum to at least 100, so the data wouldn't be skewed by lineups that had just a couple minutes in a blowout, dominating one game. Most of these lineups are starting lineups for their respective team, and it's really interesting to see how they're actually doing. Some, like the newly designed Rockets lineup, are tearing through the league so far, despite a poor conference ranking. You can see how starting lineups compare to the second unit, and whether the bench is really the issue for a particular team.
For perspective, the league ORtg average this year is currently 104.6, while the DRtg average is 102.0.
Without further ado, here are the best and worst NBA lineups so far this season:
The 5 Best Lineups
1. mentioned recently, Portland traded Gerald Wallace for a protected lottery pick in 2012 and allowed them to build with young guys on reasonable contracts. That 2012 pick turned into reigning Rookie of the Year Damian Lillard. This past offseason, they solidified the center position and bench, adding Robin Lopez, Mo Williams, Dorell Wright, Thomas Robinson and Earl Watson. The West is loaded though - a top-four seed and home court advantage could be huge for the Blazers.
The 5 Worst Lineups
1. John Lucas III, Richard Jefferson, Gordon Hayward, Enes Kanter, Derrick Favors
Team: Utah Jazz
Total Minutes: 105
ORtg: 93.7, DRtg: 107.6, NetRtg: -13.9
Thoughts: To be fair, just about every lineup for the Jazz is pretty awful. Gordon Hayward and Derrick Favors have moments of stud-ness, but the rest of the team just isn't very good. The return of Trey Burke has and will help, but the Jazz have no real incentive to get better. With the best draft class in a long time coming in and the loaded Western Conference, the Jazz shouldn't worry about this year. A young quartet of Jabari Parker, Gordon Hayward, Derrick Favors, and Trey Burke sounds pretty good.
2. Russell Westbrook, Thabo Sefolosha, Kevin Durant, Serge Ibaka, Kendrick Perkins
Team: Oklahoma City Thunder
Total Minutes: 198
ORtg: 93.1, DRtg: 103.3, NetRtg: -10.2
Thoughts: It's probably very surprising to most NBA fans to see this lineup in this spot with these terrible numbers. What is really interesting is the alternate lineup that I list below, later in the article - if you switch out Perkins for Reggie Jackson, the numbers are off the charts. It is fascinating why head coach Scott Brooks has such blind allegiance to Perk, but it could really hurt them in the long run. Their small-ball lineup with Durant at the power forward spot is destroying everyone, but Brooks has only given them 29 minutes so far. I think that will have to change as the playoffs approach if the Thunder want to make it out of the West.
3. Jameer Nelson, Arron Afflalo, Maurice Harkless, Jason Maxiell, Nikola Vucevic
Team: Orlando Magic
Total Minutes: 138
ORtg: 101.9, DRtg: 111.8, NetRtg: -9.9
Thoughts: Like the Jazz, the Magic have no reason to be any good this year. They're all in on Tankapalooza, as well they should be. They need a definite upgrade at the point guard spot, but Arron Afflalo has been stellar this year and Oladipo is still a project at the guard spot as well. They have a bunch of draft picks upcoming, as well as a lot of cap flexibility and trade assets. They're super young and are perfectly happy developing their talent at their own pace. They're on their way to a top 5 pick and Magic fans should be very happy with their future.
4. Michael Carter-Williams, James Anderson, Evan Turner, Thaddeus Young, Spencer Hawes
Team: Philadelphia 76ers
Total Minutes: 201
ORtg: 100.7, DRtg: 110.1, NetRtg: -9.4
Thoughts: Sixers fans have to be pretty ecstatic as well. In one of the worst drafts ever this past summer, they managed to get what looks like to be the only potential franchise guy in Carter-Williams, along with Nerlens Noel essentially for free after the Jrue Holiday deal. They got off to a hot start, but most of that was due to how bad the East was. I still project the 76ers as a lottery team this summer. A Carter-Williams, Thad Young, Julius Randle trio sounds pretty juicy to me.
5. Kyle Lowry, DeMar DeRozan, Rudy Gay, Amir Johnson, Jonas Valanciunas
Team: Toronto Raptors
Total Minutes: 244
ORtg: 98.9, DRtg: 107.8, NetRtg: -8.9
Thoughts: RIP to this miserable shooting lineup. With Rudy Gay and DeMar DeRozan jacking up contested long two-pointers, this unit was just really difficult to watch. It will be interesting to see how the newly arrived Raps will fare and how Lowry will do in a time share with Greivis Vasquez. It seems like the Raps are aligning themselves to join Tankapalooza as well in hopes of landing Canadian Andrew Wiggins to resurrect the franchise.
Fun With Small Samples
Just for kicks, here are the highest-performing lineups this season with no minute restrictions on the data.
1. Stephen Curry, Klay Thompson, Draymond Green, David Lee, Jermaine O'Neal
Team: Golden State Warriors
Minutes: 29
ORtg: 162.0, DRtg: 88.6, NetRtg: +73.4
2. Tony Parker, Danny Green, Marco Belinelli, Boris Diaw, Tim Duncan
Team: San Antonio Spurs
Minutes: 21
ORtg: 148.3, DRtg: 79.1, NetRtg: +69.2
3. Reggie Jackson, Russell Westbrook, Thabo Sefolosha, Kevin Durant, Serge Ibaka
Team: Oklahoma City Thunder
Minutes: 29
ORtg: 123.1, DRtg: 68.8, NetRtg: +54.3
4. Isaiah Thomas, Marcus Thornton, John Salmons, Patrick Patterson, DeMarcus Cousins
Team: Sacramento Kings
Minutes: 23
ORtg: 120.9, DRtg: 71.7, NetRtg: +49.2
5. Mike Conley, Mike Miller, Tayshaun Prince, Zach Randolph, Marc Gasol
Team: Memphis Grizzlies
Minutes: 24
ORtg: 135.3, DRtg: 88.3, NetRtg: +46.9