Prop betting odds can be useful in daily fantasy sports to help gauge the potential performance of a player on any given night in the NBA. Likewise, the same principles can be applied in the opposite direction -- by using our fantasy projections and models to help make more informed prop bets.
Using the odds available at BetOnline Sportsbook, here are three prop bets available for Wednesday night that are good plays based on our nightly NBA game projections.
Please note that Vegas lines and our game projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.
Golden State Warriors at Houston Rockets
Clint Capela OVER 13 Points (-143)
Clint Capela has been relatively held in check over the last two games, but that will need to change if the Houston Rockets want to win Game 2 and avoid a devastating 0-2 hole before heading on the road. The big man has played very well in the playoffs so far, and on Wednesday our models project him to rebound with another big game.
Capela is still averaging 14.3 points per game against the Golden State Warriors in four regular and postseason games this season. Even after scoring just five points in Game 5 against the Utah Jazz, Capela is also averaging 14.6 points over his last eight playoff games. For Wednesday, numberFire's models project him for 16.5 points.
Kevin Durant OVER 4.5 Assists (-114)
Kevin Durant was so hot in Game 1 that he probably didn't even think about passing the ball as he finished with 37 points to just 1 assist. However, the Rockets should make some defensive adjustments on Durant in Game 2, and that could lead to Durant finding his teammates more often.
Through the playoffs, Durant has collected 5 or more assists in 7 of his 11 games, and for Wednesday our models think Durant is good for 5.6 assists, hitting the over by a decent margin.
Stephen Curry OVER 24.5 Points (-125)
Naturally, if Durant is passing the ball more in Game 2, Stephen Curry is the first guy to benefit from that scenario. The Golden State Warriors point guard was held to a playoff-low 18 points in Game 1, but our models expect Curry could blow up in Game 2.
One of the reasons for Curry's down Game 1 was his 1-for-5 performance from beyond the arc. So far in the playoffs, the Rockets are third-worst in defended three-point percentage, allowing their opponents to shoot 38.3% from downtown. If Curry can get hot from deep, we like him for 30.1 points.