NBA
Should Team USA or Spain Be the FIBA Favorites?
With Paul George and Kevin Durant no longer playing on Team USA, are the Gasol brothers and Spain now favorites?

Where were you for the 2012 Olympic basketball finals? It’s probably pretty tough to remember. August 12th, 2012? Ring any bells? It was my 24th birthday and I was sitting on the edge of my uncomfortably dark Super 8 Motel room bed about an hour outside of Indianapolis, Indiana.

Squirming for 120 minutes alone in the middle of nowhere.

I yelled and screamed throughout that whole contest. At half, the U.S. clinging desperately to a one-point advantage, I frantically packed my bags. I had a flight to catch back to San Francisco that I had no intentions of missing.

The game was riveting. 13 straight in the third for Spain on a series of vintage low-post moves almost exclusively resulting in layups and dunks. riveting 2008 Olympic final (when he was 17). That performance launched the hype that had scouts comparing him to this happened to Paul George. Yikes.

Then, last week, Kevin Durant bailed. And the drop off from Durant to - gulp - Rudy Gay is monumental. Suddenly, Spain looks rather bullish.

Klay Thompson has improved drastically with his on-ball defense, but loses sight of the ball and plays below average help defense. The defensive struggles of James Harden, Damian Lillard, Kyrie Irving and Steph Curry are well documented, and Derrick Rose is coming off who knows how many knee surgeries.

Then comes the issue of depth. USA certainly goes deeper than Spain, but it’s a smaller factor in the 40 minute international game - if the Gasols and Rubio can stay out of foul trouble, Spain’s starters should get 32-plus minutes against the top line Coach K puts out there.

For Spain, the recipe is there. Dominate on the post, get the USA bigs in foul trouble early, and cross your fingers nobody in the Curry/Thompson/Harden group gets hot from deep.

If this dream finals matchup does come to fruition, I'll be watching, no matter where I am, you should too.

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