NBA Player Prop Bets to Target on Tuesday 5/9/23

Here, we'll focus on utilizing daily fantasy basketball projections and a slew of other tools to help make money betting player props. For this article, we are focusing on the NBA odds at FanDuel Sportsbook to pinpoint spots where value can be had tonight.

The prop-betting experience on FanDuel Sportsbook is getting even more fun. You can track your player props with real-time updates and place live in-game props with ease.

Please note that betting lines and our daily projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.

Derrick White Over 11.5 Points (-126)

Derrick White has been quiet offensively in the series against the Philadelphia 76ers. He's shooting only 44.1% from the field through four games while hitting just 36.8% of his three-pointers. He's also taking only 8.5 shots per night.

Those numbers are all down a tick from his regular-season marks of 46.2% shooting, a 38.1% clip from three and 9.2 field-goal attempts per game.

This recent stretch comes after White was excellent offensively in the first round versus the Atlanta Hawks, netting 17.3 points per game and hitting 55.7% of his shots, including 45.7% from deep.

White is still getting big minutes against Philly, playing at least 27 minutes in all four games, and I think the scoring pendulum swings back the other way for him in tonight's Game 3.

Our model projects White to score 12.0 points in 30 minutes tonight.

Devin Booker Under 2.5 Made Threes (+110)

It's scary to bet the under on anything Devin Booker right now. He's playing out of his mind, scoring 36 and 47 in the two games in Phoenix. But his made threes prop looks like a good under to be on.

Booker has nailed at least three triples in each of the last three games and in all but two of his nine outings this postseason. However, he's riding some insane shooting that he's going to have a hard time sustaining.

In the playoffs, Booker is making 61.7% of his shots and 51.0% of his threes. He just hit 8 of his 12 three-point shots over the last two games. I mean, wow. Dude is on fire. But those percentages have to come down at some point.

Booker's postseason usage rate of 29.7% is actually lower than his regular-season clip of 31.8%. The same goes for his three-point attempt rate, which was 29.6% in the regular season but is just 24.4% in the playoffs. In short, Booker's huge scoring nights -- and, most importantly for this bet, his high number of made threes -- are down to torrid shooting percentages that won't last.

I think this under is a better way to take advantage of the impending negative regression than betting on the under on Booker's points prop. We project him right at this line, forecasting Booker to make 2.5 threes on 6.8 attempts. With a +110 price on the under and a -140 price on the over, the under is the side to be on.