After last night’s important tank race between the Los Angeles Lakers and the Philadelphia 76ers, the topic of organization rebuilding has been a popular one in the basketball community. Two prospects, Karl-Anthony Towns and Jahlil Okafor, are battling for the number-one spot in the upcoming draft and are currently leading their teams on the biggest of all college basketball stages, the Final Four.
There has also been discussion about whether there is a “correct†way to rebuild a franchise -- do you take the extreme philosophy of the 76ers and be intentionally bad for years and accumulate top picks? Or do you stockpile assets like the Houston Rockets and hope to flip them for a superstar such as Zach Lowe of Grantland wrote today. They currently don’t have that top pick superstar or future superstar, yet they’re also right in the middle of playoff contention and thus aren’t going to get a top-five pick this year. The model seems to be to accumulate assets and hope you can snag a superstar in a trade or free agency, like the Rockets did with Harden.
However, with the advancements of advanced statistics, SportVU data, and more and more brilliant basketball minds, it seems like organizations are becoming better at correctly valuing players. Harden had the pedigree but was slightly undervalued by the league it seems when he was in Oklahoma City. Houston was able to pounce on that fact. I’m not sure there are undervalued players anymore -- it seems like analytics have become too important a part of basketball to let a player slip through cracks.
Of course, there’s always the situation like Kevin Love this past summer who essentially demanded to the Timberwolves to move him. That would be a situation that Boston would need. However, there will be many other teams bidding for such a player as well. The same can be said for tanking though, as several teams are doing just that currently.
The situation in Boston will certainly be one to monitor over the next couple of years, as they’ll be a team swimming upstream against the current. Perhaps there will be a very undervalued player -- or perhaps they’ll hit on a later draft pick in the teens -- that proves me wrong.
And they aren’t the only team in the same situation. Charlotte for one, is in a similar boat, just with fewer assets.
The road to title contention is a hard and bumpy one, and it’s changing before our very feet. We’ll see which yellow brick road is the correct one.