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The Best of the Best

LeBron James - Another down game for LeBron yesterday. And by down game, I mean 15 points, 7 boards, and 7 assists, just a few points under our fantasy projection. Maybe the Sixers will allow LeBron to turn his two game scoring slump around: they have allowed small forwards to shoot a .512 effective field goal percentage (eFG%) from the field and have allowed a team defensive rating of at least 114 in four of their last five games. It also doesn't hurt that King James put up 25 points against them just last week, either.

Greg Monroe - The Warriors may have held Tyson Chandler to four points on Monday, but do you think they'll be able to hold up two games in a row inside? The law of averages says absolutely not. And Golden State's averages against opposing centers this season includes a .530 eFG%, 13.6 rebounds per game (Golden State is 21^st offensive rebound percentage), and 6.3 free throws attempted (Golden State is 24^th in defensive free throw factor).

Tyson Chandler - Yeah, that Golden State game that we just mentioned wasn't great. Outside of eight rebounds, Chandler added very little value. However, playing the Denver Nuggets offers one piece of value that he couldn't work against the Warriors: put-backs. The Nuggets are 26^th in defensive rebound percentage, and Chandler's 14.3 percent offensive rebound rate ranks third in the NBA.

Top Mid-Range Values

Nate Robinson - Kirk Hinrich's out again? All aboard the Nate Robinson train! Whenever he's the starting point guard, Robinson always seems to put up the big stats (for better or worse, as far as his team is concerned). Most recently, that resulted in 19 points, 8 assists, and 4 rebounds against the Lakers on Sunday. If only he was playing somebody easy... *looks at schedule*... yeah, Sacramento will do quite nicely. Dead-last defensive rating and opponents' eFG% should provide a red carpet for the Bulls to grab points.

Jarrett Jack - We like Jack. Even when he only scores four points and grabs one assist against New York, we still like Jack. It's all about looking long-term and playing the averages, and the average point guard has lit up the scoreboard against Detroit. The move south of the border hasn't cured Jose Calderon's defense; his 109 defensive rating remains extraordinarily high. That only adds to the value of Detroit's 24^th-ranked defensive rating as a team and 22^nd worst offensive turnover percentage.

Jeremy Lin - Normally, the analytics shy away from Houston players on our optimized roster. It's hard for anybody to keep up with their pace, so unless they place one of the top ten fastest teams, they always invariably will be somewhat slowed down. Well, the Suns' 10^th-quickest pace provides one of the few opportunities we'll see for Houston to play as fast as they want, and Lin should take advantage. The Suns allow point guards to shoot .518 eFG%, and Lin will be hard-pressed to shoot only 20 percent from deep as he did against them on Saturday.