numberFire has built comprehensive algorithms to pinpoint the bets with the highest probability of returning money, whether you are betting on the total, the spread, or the moneyline. For those new to numberFire, we use a five-star system to show which bets you should be targeting for any given game. Stars represent how much you should risk on a wager relative to what you would normally bet.
For example, if you would normally bet $110 to win $100 on a -110 spread wager, if we give a 3-star ranking, we suggest risking three times that amount: $330 to win $300.
Our picks went 2-1 last week with the Red River Shootout staying under the total and Penn State winning an ugly game in Iowa City. The best matchup this week is Michigan vs. Penn State, and while our model leans toward a Lions cover, there aren't any particularly strong plays for this game. We'll stick to a top 25 matchup in the PAC-12 and an intriguing road test for LSU in the SEC instead.
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