numberFire has built comprehensive algorithms to pinpoint the bets with the highest probability of returning money, whether you are betting on the total, the spread, or the moneyline.

For those new to numberFire, we use a five-star system to show which bets you should be targeting for any given game. Stars represent how much you should risk on a wager relative to what you would normally bet.

For example, if you would normally bet $110 to win $100 on a -110 spread wager, if we give a 3-star ranking, we suggest risking three times that amount: $330 to win $300. Here are the best bets for this weekend with guidance from our model. All advanced statistics are courtesy of the S&P individual team statistical profiles, except where noted.

Note: Lines are subject to change throughout the day after this article is published. Please check here to make sure you're seeing the most updated information.

Old Dominion vs Tulsa

Tulsa (-9.5): 3 Stars out of 5

Over 53.5: 4 Stars out of 5

Tulsa and Old Dominion both come into this game with 6-6 records, so they are both fighting to finish the year with a winning record.

Tulsa’s 6-6 may be stronger than Old Dominion’s; the Golden Hurricanes faced a gauntlet schedule that included Oklahoma State, Ohio State, Houston, and Cincinnati. Tulsa lost all four games but did stay within one score of both Oklahoma State and Cincinnati -- an impressive accomplishment for a 6-6 team.

Old Dominion finished 6-6 and lost 3 games by 23 points or more despite only playing one top-25 opponent. Our model likes Tulsa to win by a final score of 37.87-23.0, which has them covering and hitting over the projected game total comfortably.

We project a 64.38% chance of Tulsa covering the spread, and we give the over a 70.22% chance of hitting. Both are strong plays for Monday night.