Despite being known for their passing offense, the New England Patriots have actually been more run-heavy than the league average both on the goal line and in the red zone over the past three years, with a 1.00 goal line pass-run ratio and a 1.06 in the red zone.
LeGarrette Blount has shown a nose for the end zone during that time, with a strong 34.15% touchdown rate on his 41 goal line carries.
Blount has been the Patriots' primary goal line back for as long as he has been on the team, and with Dion Lewis, who had 12 red zone and 5 goal line carries in 2015, reportedly needing a second surgery and being likely to miss significant time, Blount has very little competition for those touches this season.
Our projections have Blount scoring 6.51 touchdowns this season, good for 14th among running backs, but with his efficiency combined with the Patriots' play-calling tendencies (especially if we see them get a little bit more run-heavy while Tom Brady serves his suspension), Blount has a great chance to surpass that mark.