Mohamed Sanu's numbers aren't all that inspiring. He's got a career 11.8 yards per reception average, and anytime he's seen significant volume in an NFL offense -- the last three years -- he's been around average or below average in per-target efficiency according to our numbers.
But, man, I'm such a sucker for late-round guaranteed volume.
The Falcons' pass-catching depth chart has very little obvious skill outside of Julio Jones, and the team has ranked in the top half of passing plays run every season since Matt Ryan's rookie year. That means that there's a high market share to capture in a pass-first offense.
Volume.
Sanu should hit 100 targets this year unless he just completely collapses, which in and of itself warrants a late-11th round selection. But there's even more to his upside.
Last year, Matt Ryan had a 3.4% touchdown rate, meaning just 3.4% of his passes ended as touchdowns. His career rate is 4.5%, and A.J. Green went down back in 2014 -- Sanu stepped up and averaged 5.5 receptions, 95.75 yards, and 0.5 touchdowns per game over a four-game stretch.
Like a lot of the players on this list, Sanu is one with a relatively decent floor -- one that could yield WR3 numbers for your team -- and a ceiling that often goes ignored.