FanDuel Price: $8,900
Projected Points: 22.80

Aaron Rodgers has had a slow start to 2016, averaging just 206 passing yards and 1.5 touchdowns per game through the first two weeks. But both of those games were on the road, and the Green Bay Packers will be playing at home this week against the Detroit Lions, who have allowed the second-most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks this season.

The Lions gave up 4 touchdowns and 385 passing yards to Andrew Luck in Week 1 and another two passing touchdowns to Marcus Mariota last week. They’ve also only managed one interception total in those two games.

The Packers have the second-highest implied total (27.75 points) this week and are favored by 7.5 points. Rotoviz’s Game Splits App shows that, since 2011, Rodgers has averaged 28.79 fantasy points per game when Green Bay is favored by 5 or more points.