Win Probability Added: +21.07
NEP: +4.71
No other string of plays was as impactful for a team in Week 5 as the Oakland Raiders’ fumble recovery (number 10 this week) and wide receiver Michael Crabtree's crucial fourth-down touchdown on the series immediately following. In total, this series of plays earned Oakland +37.88% Win Probability Added and +9.29 Net Expected Points.
Trailing by five late in the third quarter, the Raiders stood just outside the San Diego Chargers’ red zone. In order to get some momentum going back their way, they had to capitalize on this turnover, and a field goal wasn’t going to get them there.
Head coach Jack Del “Riverboat” Rio dialed up some fourth-down magic. All of the Oakland receivers ran short hooks or curls, but Crabtree took off on a fade route to the end zone. Quarterback Derek Carr, as he has so many time already this season, trusted his arm and his big possession receiver, lofting it high over the Chargers’ cornerback and Crabtree wrenched it down in stride for the go-ahead score.