The San Diego Chargers are 3.5-point favorites versus the Miami Dolphins. The total in this game is 48.5, the sixth-highest on the slate. The Chargers' implied total of 26 ranks fifth on the slate.
These trends are favorable for Chargers wide receiver Tyrell Williams. The Chargers have played in four games with a total of 48 points or higher this season. In those games, Williams averaged 13.53 half-PPR points per game. In his other 5 games, he averaged only 8.48 half-PPR points per game.
Chargers games have gone over their total in seven out of nine games in 2016. And even with Miami's early-season offensive troubles, the Dolphins have gone over their total in five out of eight games.
According to Bet Labs, the Chargers have gone over the total in 27 out of 44 games since 2004, the year Philip Rivers was drafted, when the total was 48 or higher.
Williams is a solid tournament play because of his cheap price and high upside. He is currently priced at $5,900 on FanDuel, which ranks 35th among wideouts.