FanDuel Price: $5,000
Projections: 16.98 points allowed, 2.58 sacks, 2.38 turnovers, 0.24 touchdowns
The Kansas City D/ST seemingly makes its way into this column every other week as they are one of the only defenses with severe home/road splits. Thanks to three defensive touchdowns, the Chiefs’ defense is averaging 14.5 FanDuel points per game at home this season. They’ve scored more than 10 FanDuel points in three of these four games, including a 35-point explosion against Ryan Fitzpatrick and the Jets in Week 2.
This week, they’re 7.5-point home favorites against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Jameis Winston has struggled against tougher defenses this season -- Denver scored 15 FanDuel points and Arizona scored 23 FanDuel points when they played Tampa earlier this season. As a result, the Bucs have the lowest implied team total on the board this weekend at 18.5, which is actually higher than our projection of 16.98 points.
In addition to the projected low scoring, we also project the Chiefs’ defense to force the most turnovers in Week 11. Their price tag isn’t cheap, but the Kansas City D/ST has a high floor with immense upside -- that’s an ideal cash game play.