Over/Under: 44.0
Browns Implied Team Total: 18.50
Giants Implied Team Total: 25.50
The 44-point over/under in this game certainly doesn't jump off the page, but thanks to the Cleveland Browns' 31st-ranked defense, per our numbers, the New York Giants are projected for the seventh-highest implied team total (25.5 points) on the slate.
Both the Giants (third) and Browns (sixth) rank in the top 10 in offensive pace and in the bottom-five in offensive plays run against them, so it wouldn't be surprising to see this game among the league-leaders in total offensive plays, boosting players on both sides of the ball.
Rashad Jennings, RB, New York Giants
FanDuel Price: $6,600
After a very rough stretch of opposing rush defenses, Rashad Jennings' fantasy relevance has been revived over the past two games. In those games, Jennings has averaged 119 scrimmage yards and proved he can be a game changer when he finds the end zone, totaling 21.4 FanDuel points last week. He's played 65 percent of New York's offensive snaps over the past two weeks, up from his 55-percent mark on the season. He's also been used far more often in the passing game, catching eight passes on 12 targets over the past two weeks.
This week, Jennings will have the easiest matchup he's seen yet, facing a Cleveland team that would stand out as the clear worst run defense if the 49ers didn't exist. The Browns rank second to last in Adjusted Defensive Rushing NEP per play, yards per carry allowed (4.6), and FanDuel points allowed per game (26.9).
If the 7-3 Giants find themselves playing with the lead against the 0-11 Browns, as Vegas expects them to, Jennings could see a huge workload against a suspect run defense. He doesn't have the upside that someone like Ajayi does, but he comes at a significant discount and finds himself in an almost identical spot.
New York Giants Defense
FanDuel Price: $4,800
The New York Giants D/ST bring in a unit ranked seventh in quarterback hurries to face a Browns offensive line that has allowed more sacks than any team in the league. Cleveland's 18.5-point implied team total is also the third-lowest on the slate, providing the Giants with a fairly safe floor.
Pairing the Giants with Jennings makes sense from a game script perspective, too, if you expect the Giants to run away with this one. If they are playing with a lead, it is likely because their defense and special teams have scored, or because their defense is holding the opponent from scoring, both of which should lead to more carries for Jennings.