Week 14 Game Scripts to Target in Daily Fantasy Football
Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts
Over/Under: 47.0
Texans Implied Team Total: 20.5
Colts Implied Team Total: 26.5
The Indianapolis Colts have the second-highest implied total (26.5) this week for their pivotal home matchup against the Houston Texans. A 6-point favorite, the Colts are tied as the third-biggest favorites of the week, trailing only the Detroit Lions (-7.5) and New England Patriots (7.0). Houston, on the other hand, has the fifth-lowest implied total despite facing a not-so-great Indy defense. That's Brock Osweiler in full effect.
Andrew Luck, QB, Indianapolis Colts
FanDuel Price: $8,200
Similar to Cam Newton (and most other quarterbacks), Luck's numbers in wins dwarf his stats from losses. Also, on a weekend when some nasty weather could impact games, it doesn't hurt that this one will be played under the retractable roof of Lucas Oil Stadium, another situation in which Luck has thrived throughout his career.
| Splits | Games | Comp% | Adj. YPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins | 41 | 60.50% | 7.84 | 79 | 26 |
| Losses | 25 | 57.03% | 5.83 | 45 | 37 |
| Outdoors | 26 | 59.84% | 6.64 | 46 | 29 |
| Roof | 39 | 59.07% | 7.30 | 74 | 31 |
Houston has a stout defense -- ranking eighth overall, per our numbers -- but they've been trending in the wrong direction. Over their past for games, the Texans are allowing an average of 18.73 fantasy points per game to quarterbacks.
Indy's implied total and status as a clear favorite make Luck an enticing play this week. He also posted a solid stat line against the Texans in their Week 6 meeting earlier this season, throwing for 252 yards and 1 score while rushing for 53 yards and another touchdown.
T.Y. Hilton, WR, Indianapolis Colts
FanDuel Price: $7,600
The fantasy community -- especially the dynasty community -- really wanted Donte Moncrief to be a thing this season. And while he has been solid, thanks to some crazy touchdown production, T.Y. Hilton is the top dog in the Colts' passing game. Hilton is coming off a roasting of the New York Jets' secondary in Week 13, when he turned 10 targets into 9 catches for 146 yards.
The matchup against the Texans is tough, as they're allowing the third-fewest FanDuel points to receivers this season and held Hilton to 3 receptions for 49 yards in their meeting earlier this season. That could end up making Hilton a lesser-owned option, and he's been a stone-cold stud in Colts victories this season -- averaging 7.5 grabs and 133.8 yards in wins, compared to 4.0 catches and 47.5 yards in losses.
T.Y. has seen at least nine targets in all but one game this year -- not counting his injury-shortened outing against the Pittsburgh Steelers -- and he's the safest weapon in the Colts' passing game.
C.J Fiedorowicz, TE, Houston Texans
FanDuel Price: $5,100
If game script goes as expected, then the volume should be there for Houston's passing game. There's certainly an argument to be made for rostering DeAndre Hopkins, but with Vontae Davis healthy, it's C.J. Fiedorowicz who has the best matchup. As a bonus, Fiedorowicz is priced outside of the top 15 tight ends.
Over the past eight games, Fiedorowicz is averaging 7.4 targets per game while seeing at least 7 looks in six of those eight games. He's averaging 4.9 catches and 52.25 receiving yards per game in that span.
The Colts have allowed the ninth-most FanDuel points to opposing tight ends, and Fiedorowicz blitzed them for 6 catches, 85 yards and 1 score earlier this season. On top of that, Indy linebacker D'Qwell Jackson will be out due to a suspension.
