High-Cost Option: Matt Ryan ($7,300)
This week's most expensive quarterback, Matt Ryan, is playing at home as 14-point favorites against the visiting San Francisco 49ers. The 49ers are giving up the second-most touchdowns and sixth-most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks.
Ryan leads all quarterbacks in Total NEP, is tied for the league lead with 30 passing touchdowns on the season and has thrown multiple scores in 9 of 13 games. The 49ers have allowed seven quarterbacks to clear 20-plus DK points against them. Ryan will likely make that eight after this week.
Mid-Cost Option: Philip Rivers ($6,200)
In his Week 5 matchup with the Oakland Raiders, Philip Rivers threw for 365 passing yards and 4 touchdowns. Vegas originally opened this game with a 51-point total, but we've seen that decline to a current 49-point total. The Raiders have allowed the 7th-most passing yards and rank 21st in Football-Outsiders' Pass DVOA (Defense-adjusted Value Over Average).
They've allowed multiple touchdown performances to 7 of the 13 quarterbacks they've faced this season. Rivers has thrown multiple touchdowns in six straight, making him an affordable cash game play with a relatively high floor.
Low-Cost Option: Colin Kaepernick ($5,800)
Colin Kaepernick is a player worth heavily targeting this week.
He’s playing in the highest projected scoring game of the week (51-point game total) as a 14-point underdog. The Atlanta Falcons rank top-three in most completions, passing yards, passing touchdowns, and fantasy points allowed to opposing quarterbacks. They rank bottom-10 in our schedule-adjusted Defensive Passing NEP metric.
Opposing offenses are converting 75.5 percent of red zone opportunities against Atlanta into touchdowns -- highest rate in the league. Prior to his Week 13 benching, Kaepernick was averaging 23.6 DK points per game and averaging over 60-plus rushing yards per game. Kap's recent benching may lower ownership on him, providing a more direct path to you climbing GPP leaderboards.
Other Options: Marcus Mariota ($6,500), Dak Prescott ($6,200), Trevor Siemian ($5,200)