FanDuel Price: $5,800
Alex Collins is behind Thomas Rawls on the Seattle Seahawks' depth chart, but Collins has actually played more snaps than Rawls in each of the last two games, out-touching Rawls 19-17.
The sample size is fairly small, but looking at the pair's efficiency numbers, it comes as no surprise that Collins has been seeing more work:
| Player | Carries | Rushing NEP | Rushing NEP per Carry | Success Rate* |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Collins | 31 | -3.11 | -0.10 | 29.00% |
| Thomas Rawls | 109 | -14.31 | -0.13 | 26.60% |
The Seahawks are the second-biggest favorite on the slate (at -8, as of writing) and, per ScoresAndOdds.com, sportsbooks have already moved the line a full point in the Seahawks' favor despite the majority of the money coming in on Detroit.
This implies that Seattle will likely be playing with a lead, which should lend itself to a more run-heavy game script, creating plenty of opportunity for Collins against a Lions defense that finished the regular season ranking only 22nd against the run, per our numbers.