FanDuel Price: $8,300
Projected Points: 20.2
Over their past four games, the Seattle Seahawks have held opposing quarterbacks to a total of two touchdown passes and have kept three of those four quarterbacks to 215 passing yards or fewer.
But let's consider who those four quarterbacks were. Among the 39 quarterbacks to drop back at least 100 times this season, Matthew Stafford was the only one of those four opposing quarterbacks to finish the season ranked inside the top 20 in Passing Net Expected Points (NEP) per drop back. And Stafford played them on the road. He has only topped 16 FanDuel points once over his past six road games.
Matt Ryan, whose 0.37 Passing NEP per drop back led the NFL this season, is a different story. He threw for 335 yards and 3 touchdowns in his first meeting with the Seahawks this year, and he had the third-most FanDuel points of any player this season. And the Atlanta Falcons will be playing at home, where Ryan averaged 23.16 FanDuel points per game this season.
Add in the fact the Seahawks have struggled without Earl Thomas, and Ryan is set up to put up big numbers against this defense once again.