Since you probably want more than "Start Zeke, the end," we can drag this out a bit.
The Dallas Cowboys are favored by 4.5 points at home versus the smoking-hot Green Bay Packers. The total in this game is 52.5, the highest on the weekend slate. There are plenty of players worth starting, but we are going to focus on Ezekiel Elliott.
Zeke has been a monster since he crop-topped his way into our lives at the NFL Draft. No matter what trend you look at, Zeke is worth a start.
The Cowboys were favored by 4.5 points or more in 6 games this season, and in those games, Elliott averaged 21.15 half-PPR points per game.
Games involving the Packers have gone over the total 11 out of 16 times, including 6 out 8 times on the road. The Packers have been underdogs four times this season, but the games eclipsed the total in three of them. The total opened at 51.5 points but has since risen to 52.5 points.
Elliott is priced at $8,500 on FanDuel, ranking second among running backs. With a lack of elite options at running back this week, Elliott is a safe play for all formats.